Sat, Dec 28, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Washington Capitals 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 53% of the time.
44%
10%
8%
38%
TOR winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:54 | 0.04 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 20:44 | 0.00 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:43 | 0.21 | 59.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 20:00 | 0.08 | 44.4% | +28.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 19:01 | 0.04 | 43.2% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:46 | 0.03 | 35.3% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:43 | 0.08 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:14 | 0.43 | 32.7% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:37 | 0.03 | 19.8% | +1.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15:55 | 0.49 | 60.7% | +12.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 15:53 | 0.12 | 42.0% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:12 | 0.11 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:58 | 0.89 | 52.0% | +1.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:01 | 0.00 | 29.2% | +1.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 13:59 | 0.13 | 43.5% | +15.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 11:49 | 0.22 | 50.4% | +33.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 10:32 | 0.17 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:59 | 0.04 | 45.8% | +10.2 |
| W | 37 | 35 | 2 | .946 | 3.30 | +1.3 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 22:07 | 0.10 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:52 | 0.11 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 20:35 | 0.57 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:54 | 0.09 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:38 | 0.51 | 76.7% | +22.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 19:01 | 0.48 | 70.5% | +9.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:50 | 0.01 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:16 | 0.21 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:52 | 0.00 | 62.9% | +9.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:28 | 0.09 | 61.2% | +9.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:59 | 0.15 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:10 | 0.06 | 68.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 13:45 | 0.25 | 81.5% | +22.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:41 | 0.06 | 83.8% | +22.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:33 | 0.22 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:10 | 0.00 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:09 | 0.35 | 46.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:02 | 0.03 | 44.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 2.28 | −1.7 | 58:39 |