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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 28, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Washington Capitals 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 53% of the time.

TOR winsWSH wins

Washington Capitals

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Matt RoyD · #3000−1120:540.0432.4%0.0
Martin FehérváryD · #42000−2020:440.0034.4%0.0
John CarlsonD · #74000+1120:430.2159.4%0.0
Jakob ChychrunD · #6112+3420:000.0844.4%+28.4
Trevor van RiemsdykD · #57011+2119:010.0443.2%+15.9
Rasmus SandinD · #38011+1218:460.0335.3%+23.5
Connor McMichaelLW · #24000−2118:430.0830.6%0.0
Tom WilsonRW · #43101−1318:140.4332.7%+12.5
Pierre-Luc DuboisC · #80011−1116:370.0319.8%+1.2
Dylan StromeC · #170110515:550.4960.7%+12.5
Nic DowdC · #26101+2215:530.1242.0%+23.5
Brandon DuhaimeLW · #22000+1115:120.1146.0%0.0
Alex OvechkinLW · #81010314:580.8952.0%+1.2
Aliaksei ProtasLW · #21011+1014:010.0029.2%+1.2
Taylor RaddyshRW · #16011+2213:590.1343.5%+15.9
Andrew MangiapaneLW · #88112+2111:490.2250.4%+33.8
Jakub VranaLW · #13000+1310:320.1744.0%0.0
Hendrix LapierreC · #29011+119:590.0445.8%+10.2
Logan Thompson#48W37352.9463.30+1.360:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Morgan RiellyD · #44000−2322:070.1051.7%0.0
Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #950000321:520.1151.7%0.0
William NylanderRW · #88000−2420:350.5757.0%0.0
Jake McCabeD · #220000119:540.0966.7%0.0
Mitch MarnerRW · #16011+1219:380.5176.7%+22.7
John TavaresC · #911010619:010.4870.5%+9.8
Chris TanevD · #80000118:500.0166.1%0.0
Matthew KniesLW · #23000−2117:160.2158.2%0.0
Simon BenoitD · #2011−1116:520.0062.9%+9.8
Max PaciorettyLW · #67011+1216:280.0961.2%+9.8
Pontus HolmbergRW · #29000−1115:590.1549.6%0.0
Conor TimminsD · #250000315:100.0668.3%0.0
Bobby McMannC · #74101−1213:450.2581.5%+22.7
Max DomiC · #110110113:410.0683.8%+22.7
Nick RobertsonLW · #89000−1312:330.2258.4%0.0
David KampfC · #64000−1012:100.0050.3%0.0
Connor DewarC · #24000−1212:090.3546.4%0.0
Steven LorentzC · #18000−1112:020.0344.0%0.0
Matt Murray#30L31274.8712.28−1.758:39