Sat, Dec 28, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Washington Capitals 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 53% of the time.
44%
10%
8%
38%
TOR winsWSH wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Dowd–Raddysh–Duhaime | Wilson–Dubois–McMichael | Vrana–Mangiapane–Lapierre | Ovechkin–Strome–Protas | Ovechkin–Strome–McMichael | Wilson–Dubois–Protas | Wilson–Strome–McMichael | van Riemsdyk–Chychrun | Roy–Fehérváry | Carlson–Sandin | Roy–Sandin | van Riemsdyk–Fehérváry | Carlson–Fehérváry | Carlson–Chychrun | Chychrun–Sandin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacioretty–Tavares–Marner | 2:060.33–0.01 | 5:380.02–0.22 | 0:480.08–0.00 | 1:590.23–0.03 | 3:370.17–0.17 | 3:590.03–0.03 | 0:440.06–0.00 | 0:400.14–0.00 | |||||||
| Nylander–Holmberg–Knies | 4:070.37–0.14 | 2:410.36–0.25 | 1:210.00–0.03 | 1:120.00–0.15 | 1:540.01–0.08 | 4:360.70–0.30 | 2:370.10–0.08 | 0:480.15–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.15 | ||||||
| Lorentz–Kampf–Dewar | 2:210.03–0.00 | 3:360.00–0.23 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 4:010.00–0.21 | 1:120.03–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.06 | ||||||||
| Domi–Robertson–McMann | 2:540.02–0.10 | 1:120.04–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 0:560.06–0.00 | 2:280.01–0.04 | 1:570.02–0.02 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:390.06–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||||
| Lorentz–Dewar–Holmberg | 1:030.00–0.13 | 1:100.00–0.13 | |||||||||||||
| Domi–Marner–McMann | 0:490.09–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Rielly | 3:490.07–0.22 | 4:100.38–0.19 | 2:360.01–0.03 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 2:170.03–0.15 | 0:550.06–0.00 | 1:130.08–0.06 | 4:350.02–0.10 | 4:320.40–0.24 | 3:210.09–0.06 | 1:390.05–0.05 | 0:580.06–0.15 | 1:230.00–0.06 | ||
| Tanev–McCabe | 2:030.00–0.04 | 3:210.16–0.01 | 2:390.44–0.20 | 4:290.02–0.24 | 0:460.08–0.00 | 3:330.47–0.09 | 2:450.00–0.17 | 6:270.13–0.20 | 1:050.15–0.00 | 0:460.11–0.03 | 1:190.00–0.01 | 0:330.12–0.00 | |||
| Timmins–Benoit | 3:460.13–0.10 | 1:180.21–0.00 | 2:340.00–0.19 | 1:320.00–0.00 | 3:080.00–0.19 | 3:250.32–0.07 | 1:540.02–0.04 | 1:290.00–0.00 | 1:330.00–0.03 | 0:400.14–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 28 | 22:07 | 0:47 | 1:36 | 7 | 2 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR | 28 | 21:52 | 0:47 | 1:14 | 6 | 3 |
 Matt RoyWSH | 21 | 20:54 | 1:00 | 1:25 | 1 | 2 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 23 | 20:44 | 0:54 | 1:26 | 1 | 4 |
 John CarlsonWSH | 21 | 20:43 | 0:59 | 2:01 | 0 | 3 |
 William NylanderTOR | 18 | 20:35 | 1:09 | 3:20 | 1 | 0 |
 Jakob ChychrunWSH | 20 | 20:00 | 1:00 | 1:59 | 3 | 0 |
 Jake McCabeTOR | 28 | 19:54 | 0:43 | 2:00 | 1 | 3 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 22 | 19:38 | 0:54 | 1:42 | 2 | 3 |
 John TavaresTOR | 22 | 19:01 | 0:52 | 1:47 | 2 | 3 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykWSH | 20 | 19:01 | 0:57 | 2:03 | 2 | 1 |
 Chris TanevTOR | 28 | 18:50 | 0:40 | 2:12 | 1 | 4 |
 Rasmus SandinWSH | 22 | 18:46 | 0:51 | 1:33 | 1 | 1 |
 Connor McMichaelWSH | 23 | 18:43 | 0:49 | 1:33 | 4 | 0 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 22 | 18:14 | 0:50 | 1:19 | 4 | 0 |
 Matthew KniesTOR | 18 | 17:16 | 0:58 | 1:56 | 4 | 1 |
 Simon BenoitTOR | 25 | 16:52 | 0:40 | 1:07 | 2 | 6 |
 Pierre-Luc DuboisWSH | 22 | 16:37 | 0:45 | 1:15 | 5 | 0 |
 Max PaciorettyTOR | 20 | 16:28 | 0:49 | 1:45 | 3 | 0 |
 Pontus HolmbergTOR | 16 | 15:59 | 1:00 | 3:22 | 2 | 0 |
 Dylan StromeWSH | 21 | 15:55 | 0:45 | 1:39 | 2 | 0 |
 Nic DowdWSH | 21 | 15:53 | 0:45 | 1:25 | 0 | 9 |
 Brandon DuhaimeWSH | 22 | 15:12 | 0:41 | 1:21 | 0 | 6 |
 Conor TimminsTOR | 22 | 15:10 | 0:41 | 1:14 | 2 | 4 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 21 | 14:58 | 0:43 | 1:27 | 4 | 0 |
 Aliaksei ProtasWSH | 20 | 14:01 | 0:42 | 1:19 | 2 | 1 |
 Taylor RaddyshWSH | 19 | 13:59 | 0:44 | 1:13 | 0 | 5 |
 Bobby McMannTOR | 17 | 13:45 | 0:49 | 1:02 | 3 | 1 |
 Max DomiTOR | 17 | 13:41 | 0:48 | 1:12 | 1 | 1 |
 Nick RobertsonTOR | 15 | 12:33 | 0:50 | 1:12 | 1 | 1 |
 David KampfTOR | 16 | 12:10 | 0:46 | 1:09 | 0 | 6 |
 Connor DewarTOR | 16 | 12:09 | 0:46 | 1:24 | 1 | 3 |
 Steven LorentzTOR | 16 | 12:02 | 0:45 | 1:45 | 0 | 5 |
 Andrew MangiapaneWSH | 17 | 11:49 | 0:42 | 1:10 | 6 | 0 |
 Jakub VranaWSH | 15 | 10:32 | 0:42 | 1:12 | 4 | 0 |
 Hendrix LapierreWSH | 14 | 9:59 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 4 | 0 |