Tue, Dec 31, 2024·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Buffalo Sabres 2, Dallas Stars 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 89% of the time.
85%
DAL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 24:46 | 0.06 | 43.7% | +18.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 22:32 | 0.07 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:28 | 0.07 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:10 | 0.04 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:35 | 0.10 | 31.2% | +18.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:23 | 0.17 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:04 | 0.54 | 31.6% | +18.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:26 | 0.11 | 16.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:51 | 0.14 | 15.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:26 | 0.07 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:19 | 0.00 | 22.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:09 | 0.04 | 14.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:54 | 0.30 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:50 | 0.16 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:31 | 0.01 | 23.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:14 | 0.00 | 56.9% | +25.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:14 | 0.11 | 74.3% | +25.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10:08 | 0.35 | 61.9% | +25.5 |
| L | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 4.25 | +1.3 | 58:00 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 25:09 | 0.09 | 66.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 22:00 | 0.30 | 65.8% | +5.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 21:00 | 1.32 | 79.8% | +30.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 20:47 | 0.40 | 81.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 19:59 | 0.07 | 53.6% | +49.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 7 | 19:02 | 1.36 | 75.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:15 | 0.07 | 66.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:02 | 0.03 | 71.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:37 | 0.06 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 15:54 | 0.35 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:32 | 0.55 | 56.6% | +18.7 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 15:15 | 0.20 | 59.3% | +48.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:07 | 0.00 | 38.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:54 | 0.08 | 38.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:29 | 0.05 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:41 | 0.17 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:47 | 0.19 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:30 | 0.00 | 21.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 2.34 | +0.3 | 60:00 |