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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 31, 2024·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Buffalo Sabres 2, Dallas Stars 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 89% of the time.

DAL winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DAL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Zucker–Tuch–ThompsonCozens–Quinn–PeterkaKrebs–Kulich–BensonLafferty–Malenstyn–McLeodTuch–Thompson–KulichDahlin–ByramSamuelsson–PowerClifton–BrysonClifton–Byram
Benn–Duchene–Johnston8:051.68–0.291:330.20–0.122:180.12–0.170:500.00–0.005:330.95–0.144:570.45–0.261:550.48–0.000:510.08–0.00
Bäck–Bourque–Stankoven1:000.00–0.023:080.00–0.002:380.05–0.241:400.00–0.051:190.00–0.175:370.16–0.132:480.00–0.01
Dadonov–Hintz–Robertson0:520.07–0.463:190.26–0.001:360.19–0.002:200.03–0.133:520.38–0.461:450.00–0.002:320.13–0.13
Blackwell–Steel–Hryckowian1:310.01–0.111:100.00–0.001:140.08–0.001:100.00–0.083:100.00–0.121:340.08–0.00
Blackwell–Hintz–Steel1:470.19–0.040:390.00–0.040:360.19–0.00
Blackwell–Steel–Bäck
Heiskanen–Lyubushkin6:281.42–0.390:540.03–0.054:020.12–0.160:580.00–0.130:540.00–0.005:070.75–0.213:570.19–0.053:460.71–0.14
Lindell–Lundkvist2:260.13–0.046:210.36–0.071:240.00–0.202:330.03–0.265:240.23–0.375:260.14–0.212:150.09–0.00
Dumba–Harley1:010.00–0.002:130.14–0.043:050.24–0.112:470.00–0.084:070.00–0.104:220.49–0.013:340.00–0.04
Heiskanen–Harley0:430.07–0.460:510.00–0.001:030.15–0.460:340.06–0.00
Lindell–Heiskanen1:080.08–0.000:550.19–0.000:540.12–0.00
Dumba–Lindell1:130.00–0.000:420.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Dumba–Heiskanen0:520.08–0.110:570.15–0.11
Lindell–Harley0:430.01–0.00
Lundkvist–Harley0:480.00–0.050:570.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndRobertson FHintz FDadonov FDuchene FJohnston FBenn FBourque FStankoven FBäck FHryckowian FSteel FBlackwell FDumba DHarley DHeiskanen DLyubushkin DLindell DLundkvist DDeSmith GBenson FKrebs FKulich FTuch FThompson FZucker FCozens FPeterka FQuinn FMcLeod FMalenstyn FLafferty FByram DDahlin DPower DSamuelsson DClifton DBryson DLuukkonen G
DALBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Miro HeiskanenDAL2425:091:031:4532
Bowen ByramBUF3024:460:501:2934
Rasmus DahlinBUF3022:320:451:0835
Esa LindellDAL2422:000:551:3922
Owen PowerBUF2821:280:461:1814
Mattias SamuelssonBUF2821:100:451:3526
Wyatt JohnstonDAL2221:000:571:4212
Matt DucheneDAL2220:470:572:4713
Thomas HarleyDAL2519:590:481:2322
Jamie BennDAL2219:020:521:4232
Tage ThompsonBUF2218:350:511:3230
Alex TuchBUF2318:230:481:2642
Mathew DumbaDAL2317:150:451:3313
Jason ZuckerBUF2217:040:471:1840
Ilya LyubushkinDAL2017:020:511:2511
Nils LundkvistDAL2116:370:471:3912
Dylan CozensBUF2116:260:471:4922
Logan StankovenDAL1815:540:531:1612
JJ PeterkaBUF2115:510:451:1723
Roope HintzDAL2415:320:391:3953
Peyton KrebsBUF2315:260:401:1334
Jacob BrysonBUF2015:190:462:1614
Jason RobertsonDAL2115:150:441:4343
Jack QuinnBUF2115:090:431:2322
Oskar BäckDAL1715:070:531:2431
Sam SteelDAL2014:540:451:1330
Zach BensonBUF2114:540:431:3834
Jiri KulichBUF2214:500:401:0234
Connor CliftonBUF2014:310:442:0804
Mavrik BourqueDAL1513:290:541:2021
Evgenii DadonovDAL1912:410:401:0142
Ryan McLeodBUF1712:140:431:4706
Beck MalenstynBUF1711:140:401:2706
Colin BlackwellDAL1710:470:381:0530
Sam LaffertyBUF1610:080:381:1505
Justin HryckowianDAL127:300:380:5810