Thu, Jan 2, 2025·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Ottawa Senators 2, Dallas Stars 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 92% of the time.
88%
DAL winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 26:03 | 0.00 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 22:37 | 0.00 | 30.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:49 | 0.05 | 24.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:40 | 0.08 | 17.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 20:00 | 0.51 | 45.8% | +27.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:51 | 0.04 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 19:40 | 0.21 | 59.7% | +11.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:31 | 0.00 | 21.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:52 | 0.01 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 18:50 | 0.48 | 61.2% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:08 | 0.00 | 30.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:30 | 0.03 | 19.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:02 | 0.00 | 22.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:24 | 0.00 | 8.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:18 | 0.12 | 22.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 9:30 | 0.05 | 20.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:02 | 0.00 | 30.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:22 | 0.00 | 12.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 25 | 21 | 4 | .840 | 3.43 | −0.6 | 56:19 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25:05 | 0.02 | 64.1% | +8.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:32 | 0.07 | 81.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20:59 | 0.23 | 68.1% | +33.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:46 | 0.11 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:21 | 0.40 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17:50 | 0.76 | 68.1% | +33.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:43 | 0.00 | 73.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:13 | 0.36 | 61.8% | +23.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:50 | 1.01 | 62.5% | +28.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:57 | 0.08 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 15:04 | 0.69 | 62.5% | +28.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:04 | 0.00 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:13 | 0.45 | 73.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:07 | 0.15 | 84.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:53 | 0.02 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:51 | 0.05 | 74.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:00 | 0.26 | 70.8% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:54 | 0.00 | 44.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 13 | 11 | 2 | .846 | 1.58 | −0.4 | 59:38 |