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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 2, 2025·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Ottawa Senators 2, Dallas Stars 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 92% of the time.

DAL winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DAL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Tkachuk–Pinto–GreigGiroux–Cousins–NorrisGaudette–Batherson–StützleGregor–Reinhardt–OstapchukBatherson–Tkachuk–StützleJensen–ChabotHamonic–SandersonKleven–ZubChabot–Zub
Benn–Duchene–Johnston3:330.01–0.302:440.31–0.051:030.25–0.001:110.00–0.004:150.26–0.273:520.10–0.081:270.23–0.000:370.00–0.01
Steel–Bourque–Stankoven1:190.00–0.011:430.00–0.003:090.02–0.000:480.00–0.042:020.15–0.004:460.13–0.01
Blackwell–Bäck–Hyry0:430.00–0.001:150.03–0.002:270.09–0.002:270.01–0.055:110.04–0.050:490.00–0.001:130.09–0.00
Dadonov–Hintz–Robertson2:360.20–0.102:240.23–0.031:360.01–0.044:040.42–0.130:520.00–0.00
Blackwell–Steel–Bäck0:350.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:440.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Heiskanen–Lyubushkin5:080.03–0.250:500.23–0.002:060.02–0.000:310.25–0.005:070.28–0.211:450.15–0.104:100.25–0.13
Dumba–Harley0:570.13–0.132:100.00–0.082:570.09–0.012:410.01–0.054:170.01–0.192:410.15–0.082:550.10–0.00
Lindell–Lundkvist1:120.05–0.033:510.28–0.051:240.00–0.000:370.11–0.001:350.00–0.001:510.03–0.004:370.30–0.081:480.11–0.00
Dumba–Lindell0:350.00–0.000:340.00–0.001:080.00–0.00
Lindell–Heiskanen0:310.00–0.001:000.07–0.031:090.07–0.030:500.00–0.00
Lundkvist–Harley0:380.00–0.010:440.00–0.000:550.00–0.00
Heiskanen–Harley0:370.19–0.00
Dumba–Lyubushkin0:520.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBenn FJohnston FDuchene FRobertson FHintz FDadonov FBourque FStankoven FSteel FBäck FHyry FBlackwell FHeiskanen DLyubushkin DLundkvist DLindell DHarley DDumba DOettinger GTkachuk FPinto FGreig FNorris FCousins FGiroux FStützle FBatherson FGaudette FGregor FOstapchuk FReinhardt FJensen DChabot DHamonic DSanderson DKleven DZub DMeriläinen G
DALOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Thomas ChabotOTT2926:030:541:3613
Miro HeiskanenDAL2725:050:563:0661
Jake SandersonOTT3022:370:452:5538
Esa LindellDAL2121:321:022:1636
Wyatt JohnstonDAL2820:590:451:22104
Claude GirouxOTT3020:490:421:2838
Thomas HarleyDAL2320:460:542:2152
Tim StützleOTT2220:400:562:4760
Brady TkachukOTT2720:000:442:4955
Nick JensenOTT2519:510:481:3813
Shane PintoOTT3419:400:351:2846
Josh NorrisOTT3319:310:351:3769
Drake BathersonOTT2118:520:542:5060
Ridly GreigOTT3218:500:351:2137
Ilya LyubushkinDAL2218:210:502:1134
Matt DucheneDAL2417:500:451:2253
Sam SteelDAL2117:430:511:2534
Jamie BennDAL2517:130:411:22103
Travis HamonicOTT2517:080:411:2727
Roope HintzDAL2516:500:401:1190
Mathew DumbaDAL1615:571:002:2031
Jason RobertsonDAL2315:040:391:3890
Colin BlackwellDAL1614:040:531:3925
Artem ZubOTT2013:300:411:2214
Mavrik BourqueDAL1813:130:441:0031
Logan StankovenDAL1713:070:461:1231
Oskar BäckDAL1612:530:481:3612
Tyler KlevenOTT1912:020:381:1723
Nils LundkvistDAL2011:510:361:0724
Adam GaudetteOTT1411:240:491:2430
Nick CousinsOTT2011:180:341:2233
Evgenii DadonovDAL1811:000:371:1130
Noah GregorOTT179:300:340:5710
Arttu HyryDAL128:540:451:2922
Cole ReinhardtOTT117:020:380:5211
Zack OstapchukOTT126:220:320:5211