Sun, Jan 5, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Philadelphia Flyers 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 60% of the time.
30%
10%
8%
52%
TOR winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 23:10 | 0.25 | 50.0% | +34.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:41 | 0.00 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:44 | 0.01 | 69.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:07 | 0.25 | 28.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:41 | 0.28 | 38.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:05 | 0.02 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:13 | 0.08 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:11 | 0.35 | 70.6% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:33 | 0.28 | 81.8% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:31 | 0.00 | 26.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:53 | 0.16 | 69.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 15:48 | 0.02 | 86.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:19 | 0.21 | 64.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:05 | 0.11 | 58.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:41 | 0.14 | 61.0% | +19.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13:30 | 0.54 | 56.5% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:25 | 0.18 | 58.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:45 | 0.01 | 59.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 2.28 | −0.7 | 62:18 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 26:43 | 0.21 | 29.6% | +46.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 24:24 | 0.12 | 32.3% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:14 | 0.04 | 61.0% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 22:06 | 0.22 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:56 | 0.38 | 53.8% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 20:37 | 0.04 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 20:13 | 0.28 | 53.9% | +60.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:24 | 0.06 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:25 | 0.18 | 19.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:29 | 0.28 | 31.6% | +46.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:18 | 0.17 | 64.2% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:09 | 0.00 | 23.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:56 | 0.10 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:50 | 0.05 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:06 | 0.10 | 23.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:29 | 0.03 | 73.0% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:44 | 0.01 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:12 | 0.00 | 80.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 30 | 2 | .938 | 2.89 | +0.9 | 62:25 |