Mon, Jan 6, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Washington Capitals 3, Buffalo Sabres 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 65% of the time.
55%
10%
28%
BUF winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23:40 | 0.04 | 59.1% | +54.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23:01 | 0.31 | 27.7% | +8.9 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 22:04 | 0.44 | 62.4% | +28.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:58 | 0.11 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 20:43 | 0.25 | 69.1% | +35.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 20:00 | 0.50 | 66.0% | +54.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:48 | 0.11 | 71.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:18 | 0.00 | 39.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:10 | 0.16 | 17.8% | +8.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:44 | 0.00 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16:42 | 0.15 | 23.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:48 | 0.02 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:02 | 0.00 | 15.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:09 | 0.02 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:02 | 0.00 | 12.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:51 | 0.23 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:35 | 0.08 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:22 | 0.00 | 23.9% | 0.0 |
| O | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 3.22 | +0.2 | 65:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29:58 | 0.18 | 69.6% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28:57 | 0.01 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 6 | 23:48 | 1.08 | 47.3% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 23:37 | 0.29 | 67.0% | +28.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 21:44 | 0.11 | 80.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:33 | 0.37 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 19:36 | 0.49 | 80.6% | +25.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:36 | 0.05 | 25.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 18:14 | 0.21 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:41 | 0.00 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:33 | 0.00 | 42.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:26 | 0.18 | 22.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:20 | 0.01 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:52 | 0.15 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:46 | 0.00 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:12 | 0.00 | 18.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:19 | 0.04 | 18.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:18 | 0.04 | 52.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.43 | −0.6 | 65:00 |