Mon, Jan 6, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Washington Capitals 3, Buffalo Sabres 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 65% of the time.
55%
10%
28%
BUF winsWSH wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Wilson–Dubois–Protas | Dowd–Mangiapane–Duhaime | Eller–Vrana–McMichael | Ovechkin–Strome–Raddysh | Eller–Mangiapane–McMichael | Ovechkin–Mangiapane–Strome | Dowd–Raddysh–Duhaime | Raddysh–Dubois–Protas | Ovechkin–Wilson–Strome | Ovechkin–Eller–McMichael | van Riemsdyk–Fehérváry | Roy–Chychrun | Carlson–Sandin | Roy–Sandin | Carlson–Chychrun | van Riemsdyk–Sandin | Roy–Fehérváry | Chychrun–Sandin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zucker–Thompson–Cozens | 4:520.27–0.22 | 1:090.01–0.00 | 1:340.31–0.00 | 0:520.21–0.04 | 0:480.00–0.25 | 0:330.00–0.04 | 1:080.00–0.24 | 3:360.47–0.03 | 2:310.26–0.00 | 1:550.09–0.25 | 1:320.00–0.13 | 2:260.00–0.23 | ||||||
| Tuch–McLeod–Peterka | 2:420.05–0.10 | 2:290.34–0.00 | 1:380.16–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 2:140.00–0.00 | 1:410.09–0.02 | 2:290.23–0.00 | 1:500.05–0.10 | 2:300.23–0.00 | ||||||||
| Krebs–Kulich–Benson | 1:320.05–0.00 | 1:270.00–0.10 | 0:510.10–0.01 | 0:350.00–0.03 | 1:020.10–0.00 | 0:510.05–0.00 | 1:260.00–0.03 | 1:230.00–0.10 | ||||||||||
| Krebs–Quinn–Benson | 1:090.00–0.14 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:450.00–0.14 | 1:000.05–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Aube-Kubel–Lafferty–Quinn | 0:420.04–0.13 | 0:460.00–0.01 | 1:030.00–0.03 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:510.00–0.13 | 1:190.04–0.02 | 0:310.00–0.03 | |||||||||||
| Tuch–McLeod–Benson | 0:570.00–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Dahlin–Byram | 4:370.34–0.02 | 2:360.05–0.00 | 4:080.34–0.11 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 1:280.00–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.24 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 2:470.25–0.00 | 5:230.30–0.02 | 2:410.05–0.02 | 4:050.00–0.19 | 2:010.16–0.00 | 0:350.02–0.16 | 0:570.00–0.00 | ||||
| Clifton–Power | 2:430.00–0.20 | 1:180.10–0.00 | 1:360.10–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.25 | 3:200.11–0.01 | 0:580.09–0.02 | 1:130.00–0.25 | 1:470.00–0.19 | 0:410.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Jokiharju–Samuelsson | 0:530.00–0.13 | 2:150.18–0.00 | 0:420.03–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.04 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 2:090.00–0.13 | 1:090.05–0.00 | 1:470.21–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.04 | 0:350.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Byram–Power | 0:440.00–0.14 | 1:510.00–0.03 | 1:020.00–0.14 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Samuelsson–Power | 1:050.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.04 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.04 | ||||||||||||||
| Clifton–Samuelsson | 1:130.13–0.28 | 0:410.00–0.03 | 0:550.13–0.03 | 0:490.00–0.27 | ||||||||||||||
| Jokiharju–Power | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Jokiharju–Byram | ||||||||||||||||||
| Clifton–Dahlin | 0:470.07–0.00 | 0:330.07–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 34 | 29:58 | 0:53 | 2:24 | 5 | 3 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 34 | 28:57 | 0:51 | 1:48 | 4 | 3 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 26 | 23:48 | 0:55 | 2:38 | 1 | 2 |
 John CarlsonWSH | 28 | 23:40 | 0:51 | 1:53 | 3 | 4 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 28 | 23:37 | 0:51 | 1:56 | 8 | 1 |
 Jakob ChychrunWSH | 24 | 23:01 | 0:58 | 1:49 | 1 | 3 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 26 | 22:04 | 0:51 | 1:28 | 3 | 3 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 30 | 21:44 | 0:43 | 1:23 | 4 | 3 |
 Jason ZuckerBUF | 24 | 21:33 | 0:54 | 2:12 | 2 | 2 |
 Matt RoyWSH | 24 | 20:58 | 0:52 | 1:52 | 2 | 2 |
 Pierre-Luc DuboisWSH | 26 | 20:43 | 0:48 | 1:12 | 1 | 5 |
 Aliaksei ProtasWSH | 25 | 20:00 | 0:48 | 1:25 | 3 | 3 |
 Rasmus SandinWSH | 26 | 19:48 | 0:46 | 1:33 | 1 | 3 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 30 | 19:36 | 0:39 | 1:20 | 6 | 3 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 28 | 19:36 | 0:42 | 1:22 | 5 | 1 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 19 | 19:18 | 1:01 | 1:53 | 3 | 3 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 25 | 18:14 | 0:44 | 1:17 | 1 | 6 |
 Dylan StromeWSH | 22 | 18:10 | 0:50 | 1:36 | 4 | 1 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykWSH | 19 | 17:44 | 0:56 | 1:46 | 1 | 1 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 21 | 16:42 | 0:48 | 2:01 | 4 | 0 |
 Connor McMichaelWSH | 19 | 15:48 | 0:50 | 1:28 | 4 | 1 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 26 | 15:41 | 0:36 | 1:04 | 2 | 4 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 26 | 14:33 | 0:34 | 1:08 | 4 | 4 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 18 | 14:26 | 0:48 | 1:53 | 3 | 1 |
 Connor CliftonBUF | 20 | 14:20 | 0:43 | 1:07 | 0 | 3 |
 Nic DowdWSH | 24 | 14:02 | 0:35 | 1:00 | 0 | 10 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 22 | 13:52 | 0:38 | 0:57 | 3 | 2 |
 Lars EllerWSH | 16 | 12:09 | 0:46 | 1:15 | 3 | 1 |
 Brandon DuhaimeWSH | 22 | 12:02 | 0:33 | 0:52 | 0 | 7 |
 Andrew MangiapaneWSH | 18 | 11:51 | 0:40 | 1:14 | 1 | 4 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 20 | 11:46 | 0:35 | 1:05 | 2 | 2 |
 Taylor RaddyshWSH | 17 | 11:35 | 0:41 | 1:11 | 0 | 0 |
 Jakub VranaWSH | 10 | 8:22 | 0:50 | 1:27 | 2 | 0 |
 Sam LaffertyBUF | 10 | 7:12 | 0:43 | 1:06 | 1 | 0 |
 Nicolas Aube-KubelBUF | 7 | 6:19 | 0:54 | 1:39 | 1 | 0 |
 Jiri KulichBUF | 10 | 5:18 | 0:32 | 0:47 | 3 | 0 |