Thu, Jan 9, 2025·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Buffalo Sabres 4, Ottawa Senators 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 58% of the time.
48%
10%
9%
33%
OTT winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 22:16 | 0.08 | 24.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:18 | 0.20 | 25.1% | +4.2 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 5 | 20:14 | 0.54 | 34.8% | +33.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 20:05 | 0.09 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:52 | 0.37 | 29.0% | +4.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:41 | 0.12 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:40 | 0.06 | 30.5% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 17:50 | 0.35 | 31.3% | +29.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:43 | 0.07 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:24 | 0.18 | 50.3% | +9.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:23 | 0.00 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 15:47 | 0.10 | 22.6% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 15:36 | 0.01 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:52 | 0.00 | 32.1% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:21 | 0.00 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:58 | 0.00 | 21.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:37 | 0.07 | 26.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:23 | 0.01 | 25.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 35 | 35 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.63 | +2.6 | 60:00 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24:11 | 0.15 | 89.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:48 | 0.08 | 90.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:33 | 0.40 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:06 | 0.08 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 2 | 19:05 | 0.03 | 50.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:45 | 0.16 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 18:07 | 0.40 | 75.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 17:54 | 0.45 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:54 | 0.01 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:48 | 0.14 | 85.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:46 | 0.09 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:28 | 0.03 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:11 | 0.08 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:03 | 0.09 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 10:40 | 0.21 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:03 | 0.06 | 63.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:50 | 0.15 | 75.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:48 | 0.02 | 85.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 21 | 17 | 4 | .810 | 2.26 | −1.7 | 60:00 |