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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 14, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Dallas Stars 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 1

Away

Dallas Stars

4

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 53% of the time.

TOR winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:31Shot by Myers, saved by Oettinger
  3. P1 4:15Goal by Matthews (Marner)+10 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Marner, Lorentz, Matthews, Timmins · DAL Dadonov, Hintz, Robertson, Heiskanen, Harley

  4. P1 4:49Steel: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Domi, Myers, Robertson, McMann · DAL Dumba, Steel, Harley, Bourque, Stankoven

  5. P1 5:03Shot by Nylander, saved by Oettinger5v4
  6. P1 5:16Shot by Tavares, saved by Oettinger5v4
  7. P1 8:13Shot by Lyubushkin, saved by Woll
  8. P1 8:30Shot by Steel, saved by Woll
  9. P1 8:31Shot by Stankoven, saved by Woll
  10. P1 8:33Goal by Stankoven (Steel, Duchene)+11 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Nylander, Timmins, Kampf, Dewar, Benoit · DAL Duchene, Dumba, Steel, Harley, Stankoven

  11. P1 10:09Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Woll
  12. P1 10:11Shot by Benn, saved by Woll
  13. P1 10:59Shot by Lorentz, saved by Oettinger
  14. P1 11:27Shot by Lundkvist, saved by Woll
  15. P1 12:12Shot by Steel, saved by Woll
  16. P1 13:06Shot by Robertson, saved by Woll
  17. P1 13:31Shot by Benn, saved by Woll
  18. P1 13:58Shot by Stankoven, saved by Woll
  19. P1 14:52Shot by Nylander, saved by Oettinger
  20. P1 15:35Shot by Blümel, saved by Woll
  21. P1 16:20Shot by Myers, saved by Oettinger
  22. P1 17:31Tavares: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Nylander, Knies · DAL Blackwell, Lindell, Steel, Lundkvist, Bourque

  23. P1 19:54Shot by Rielly, saved by Oettinger
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:14Shot by Johnston, saved by Woll
  27. P2 2:34Shot by Harley, saved by Woll
  28. P2 3:47Shot by Lundkvist, saved by Woll
  29. P2 5:43Shot by Tanev, saved by Oettinger
  30. P2 6:06Shot by Tanev, saved by Oettinger
  31. P2 8:01Shot by Knies, saved by Oettinger
  32. P2 8:18Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Oettinger
  33. P2 9:12Shot by Robertson, saved by Oettinger
  34. P2 9:41Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Oettinger
  35. P2 9:54Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Oettinger
  36. P2 10:42Shot by Dadonov, saved by Woll
  37. P2 10:51Shot by Rielly, saved by Oettinger
  38. P2 11:01Tavares: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Nylander, Timmins, Benoit, Knies · DAL Dadonov, Duchene, Lindell, Lundkvist, Stankoven

  39. P2 11:08Shot by Marner, saved by Oettinger4v5
  40. P2 12:35Goal by Bourque (Stankoven, Harley)4v5+24 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Myers, Matthews, Knies · DAL Dadonov, Steel, Harley, Bourque, Stankoven

  41. P2 14:08Shot by McMann, saved by Oettinger
  42. P2 17:01Shot by Robertson, saved by Woll
  43. P2 18:17Shot by Lindell, saved by Woll
  44. P2 18:28Shot by Harley, saved by Woll
  45. P2 19:05Shot by Myers, saved by Oettinger
  46. P2 19:40Ekman-Larsson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Marner, Matthews, McMann · DAL Blackwell, Lindell, Steel, Bäck, Lyubushkin

  47. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 1:06Goal by Duchene (Johnston, Heiskanen)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tanev, Marner, Dewar, Benoit · DAL Benn, Duchene, Robertson, Heiskanen, Johnston

  50. P3 2:07Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Oettinger
  51. P3 2:54Goal by Stankoven (Duchene, Robertson)+6 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Domi, Myers, Robertson, McMann · DAL Duchene, Robertson, Heiskanen, Lyubushkin, Stankoven

  52. P3 3:50Shot by Steel, saved by Woll
  53. P3 8:22Shot by Tanev, saved by Oettinger
  54. P3 8:23Shot by Domi, saved by Oettinger
  55. P3 8:25Steel: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Domi, Marner, Matthews · DAL Blackwell, Steel, Bäck, Lyubushkin, Harley

  56. P3 9:35Shot by Matthews, saved by Oettinger5v4
  57. P3 10:40Shot by Domi, saved by Oettinger
  58. P3 14:21Shot by Tanev, saved by Oettinger
  59. P3 16:38Shot by Domi, saved by Oettinger
  60. P3 19:01Shot by Marner, saved by Oettinger6v5
  61. P3 19:10Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Oettinger6v5
  62. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  63. P3 0:00Final6v5