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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 14, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Dallas Stars 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 53% of the time.

TOR winsDAL wins

Dallas Stars

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Miro HeiskanenD · #40110124:150.0959.4%+15.9
Matt DucheneC · #95123+2121:540.1063.3%+33.7
Thomas HarleyD · #550110221:140.0742.3%+24.4
Jason RobertsonLW · #210110221:110.1946.4%+6.4
Wyatt JohnstonC · #530110121:050.1041.9%+15.9
Esa LindellD · #230000120:560.0053.4%0.0
Sam SteelC · #18011+1319:120.1747.1%+11.5
Ilya LyubushkinD · #46000+1118:200.0044.8%0.0
Jamie BennLW · #140000217:430.4657.5%0.0
Nils LundkvistD · #50000215:520.0452.8%0.0
Oskar BäckC · #100000015:510.0038.4%0.0
Logan StankovenC · #11213+2415:220.2870.5%+42.3
Mathew DumbaD · #3000+1015:080.0374.5%0.0
Evgenii DadonovLW · #63000−1114:450.1641.6%0.0
Mavrik BourqueC · #221010113:270.3078.0%+24.4
Colin BlackwellC · #150000013:000.0025.3%0.0
Matěj BlümelRW · #25000014:180.0862.7%0.0
Roope HintzC · #24000−102:270.000.0%0.0
Jake Oettinger#29W28271.9642.23+1.260:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

William NylanderRW · #88000−1222:000.2243.9%0.0
Mitch MarnerRW · #16011+1221:580.0658.1%+10.1
Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95000+1521:400.0974.4%0.0
Morgan RiellyD · #44000−1221:170.0437.8%0.0
Matthew KniesLW · #230000119:590.2950.3%0.0
Auston MatthewsC · #34101+1219:420.2069.6%+10.1
Chris TanevD · #80000418:480.1377.7%0.0
Philippe MyersD · #51000−1318:380.3139.8%0.0
John TavaresC · #910000117:080.2454.9%0.0
Conor TimminsD · #250000016:440.0236.7%0.0
Simon BenoitD · #2000−1015:560.0014.6%0.0
Max DomiC · #11000−1315:540.4958.2%0.0
Bobby McMannC · #74000−1114:570.0439.2%0.0
Nick RobertsonLW · #89000−1114:440.0849.2%0.0
Steven LorentzC · #18000+1110:550.0260.3%0.0
David KampfC · #64000−1010:550.001.3%0.0
Connor DewarC · #24000−1010:130.001.4%0.0
Ryan ReavesRW · #75000005:160.000.0%0.0
Joseph Woll#60L23194.8262.09−1.958:16