Tue, Jan 14, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Dallas Stars 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 53% of the time.
42%
11%
9%
38%
TOR winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24:15 | 0.09 | 59.4% | +15.9 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 21:54 | 0.10 | 63.3% | +33.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:14 | 0.07 | 42.3% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:11 | 0.19 | 46.4% | +6.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:05 | 0.10 | 41.9% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:56 | 0.00 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:12 | 0.17 | 47.1% | +11.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:20 | 0.00 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:43 | 0.46 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:52 | 0.04 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:51 | 0.00 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 15:22 | 0.28 | 70.5% | +42.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:08 | 0.03 | 74.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:45 | 0.16 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:27 | 0.30 | 78.0% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:00 | 0.00 | 25.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:18 | 0.08 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 2:27 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 27 | 1 | .964 | 2.23 | +1.2 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:00 | 0.22 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:58 | 0.06 | 58.1% | +10.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 21:40 | 0.09 | 74.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:17 | 0.04 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:59 | 0.29 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:42 | 0.20 | 69.6% | +10.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:48 | 0.13 | 77.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:38 | 0.31 | 39.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:08 | 0.24 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:44 | 0.02 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:56 | 0.00 | 14.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:54 | 0.49 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:57 | 0.04 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:44 | 0.08 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:55 | 0.02 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:55 | 0.00 | 1.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:13 | 0.00 | 1.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:16 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 23 | 19 | 4 | .826 | 2.09 | −1.9 | 58:16 |