Tue, Jan 14, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Dallas Stars 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 53% of the time.
42%
11%
9%
38%
TOR winsDAL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DAL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Dadonov–Robertson–Johnston | Benn–Duchene–Stankoven | Blackwell–Steel–Bäck | Steel–Bäck–Bourque | Blackwell–Steel–Bourque | Dadonov–Hintz–Robertson | Steel–Bourque–Stankoven | Benn–Duchene–Johnston | Heiskanen–Lyubushkin | Lindell–Lundkvist | Dumba–Harley | Heiskanen–Harley | Lindell–Heiskanen | Dumba–Lundkvist | Dumba–Heiskanen | Lindell–Harley | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavares–Nylander–Knies | 3:170.27–0.11 | 1:080.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:130.04–0.00 | 3:370.09–0.06 | 2:470.05–0.08 | 0:540.01–0.00 | 0:370.17–0.00 | ||||||||
| Domi–Robertson–McMann | 2:000.01–0.02 | 2:010.24–0.01 | 1:150.02–0.03 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 1:320.00–0.11 | 1:160.05–0.02 | 3:470.03–0.12 | 0:360.01–0.00 | ||||||||
| Marner–Lorentz–Matthews | 1:490.03–0.11 | 1:520.09–0.02 | 1:210.07–0.00 | 2:270.15–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.02 | 0:560.07–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.11 | |||||||||
| Reaves–Kampf–Dewar | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:530.00–0.05 | 1:170.00–0.00 | 2:070.00–0.17 | ||||||||||||
| Nylander–Matthews–Knies | 0:350.00–0.10 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 2:040.04–0.10 | |||||||||||||
| Marner–Matthews–Knies | 0:390.09–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:030.09–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Domi–Marner–McMann | 0:590.00–0.27 | 0:420.00–0.27 | ||||||||||||||
| Kampf–Robertson–McMann | 1:020.00–0.09 | 1:060.00–0.09 | ||||||||||||||
| Lorentz–Kampf–Dewar | 0:410.01–0.00 | 0:420.01–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Nylander–Marner–Matthews | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Domi–Marner–Matthews | 0:460.49–0.08 | 0:370.00–0.08 | ||||||||||||||
| Tavares–Nylander–Marner | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Rielly–Myers | 4:290.00–0.19 | 2:380.33–0.27 | 2:000.01–0.03 | 1:200.00–0.00 | 1:120.00–0.04 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:390.04–0.00 | 5:450.13–0.47 | 2:420.00–0.00 | 4:530.01–0.16 | 0:310.00–0.11 | |||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Tanev | 2:580.10–0.05 | 3:050.02–0.10 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 3:000.06–0.00 | 4:310.12–0.15 | 0:390.01–0.00 | 1:100.01–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Timmins–Benoit | 1:200.00–0.05 | 2:000.02–0.08 | 1:410.03–0.09 | 0:490.00–0.05 | 0:300.01–0.00 | 2:250.03–0.09 | 2:470.00–0.09 | 3:090.05–0.36 | ||||||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Timmins | 1:140.26–0.00 | 1:280.02–0.02 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 1:250.02–0.06 | 1:020.09–0.00 | 0:370.17–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Tanev–Benoit | 0:330.00–0.02 | 0:430.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Rielly | 0:510.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORDALFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Miro HeiskanenDAL | 26 | 24:15 | 0:56 | 1:29 | 4 | 3 |
 William NylanderTOR | 24 | 22:00 | 0:55 | 2:06 | 3 | 1 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 24 | 21:58 | 0:55 | 2:26 | 4 | 2 |
 Matt DucheneDAL | 27 | 21:54 | 0:49 | 1:49 | 4 | 3 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR | 29 | 21:40 | 0:45 | 1:37 | 4 | 0 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 27 | 21:17 | 0:47 | 1:23 | 4 | 1 |
 Thomas HarleyDAL | 26 | 21:14 | 0:49 | 1:29 | 5 | 3 |
 Jason RobertsonDAL | 26 | 21:11 | 0:49 | 1:20 | 5 | 2 |
 Wyatt JohnstonDAL | 29 | 21:05 | 0:44 | 1:10 | 5 | 3 |
 Esa LindellDAL | 24 | 20:56 | 0:52 | 1:42 | 2 | 4 |
 Matthew KniesTOR | 24 | 19:59 | 0:50 | 2:02 | 4 | 1 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 23 | 19:42 | 0:51 | 2:39 | 4 | 0 |
 Sam SteelDAL | 26 | 19:12 | 0:44 | 1:15 | 2 | 3 |
 Chris TanevTOR | 25 | 18:48 | 0:45 | 1:33 | 1 | 3 |
 Philippe MyersTOR | 26 | 18:38 | 0:43 | 1:24 | 4 | 1 |
 Ilya LyubushkinDAL | 22 | 18:20 | 0:50 | 1:29 | 1 | 6 |
 Jamie BennDAL | 26 | 17:43 | 0:41 | 1:08 | 5 | 1 |
 John TavaresTOR | 21 | 17:08 | 0:49 | 2:04 | 4 | 1 |
 Conor TimminsTOR | 24 | 16:44 | 0:42 | 1:35 | 4 | 1 |
 Simon BenoitTOR | 21 | 15:56 | 0:46 | 1:29 | 1 | 3 |
 Max DomiTOR | 18 | 15:54 | 0:53 | 1:22 | 2 | 0 |
 Nils LundkvistDAL | 22 | 15:52 | 0:43 | 1:05 | 3 | 2 |
 Oskar BäckDAL | 19 | 15:51 | 0:50 | 1:22 | 1 | 4 |
 Logan StankovenDAL | 24 | 15:22 | 0:38 | 1:02 | 3 | 1 |
 Mathew DumbaDAL | 18 | 15:08 | 0:50 | 1:25 | 2 | 3 |
 Bobby McMannTOR | 16 | 14:57 | 0:56 | 1:29 | 3 | 0 |
 Evgenii DadonovDAL | 21 | 14:45 | 0:42 | 1:09 | 2 | 1 |
 Nick RobertsonTOR | 16 | 14:44 | 0:55 | 1:55 | 4 | 0 |
 Mavrik BourqueDAL | 18 | 13:27 | 0:45 | 1:30 | 2 | 1 |
 Colin BlackwellDAL | 18 | 13:00 | 0:43 | 1:13 | 2 | 3 |
 Steven LorentzTOR | 16 | 10:55 | 0:41 | 1:11 | 3 | 0 |
 David KampfTOR | 14 | 10:55 | 0:47 | 1:39 | 0 | 5 |
 Connor DewarTOR | 13 | 10:13 | 0:47 | 1:09 | 0 | 2 |
 Ryan ReavesTOR | 7 | 5:16 | 0:45 | 1:03 | 0 | 2 |
 Matěj BlümelDAL | 6 | 4:18 | 0:43 | 1:10 | 1 | 1 |
 Roope HintzDAL | 4 | 2:27 | 0:37 | 0:47 | 0 | 0 |