Wed, Jan 15, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Carolina Hurricanes 2, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 61% of the time.
52%
9%
8%
31%
BUF winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 22:46 | 0.08 | 42.0% | +11.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 20:40 | 0.51 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:39 | 0.03 | 45.7% | +4.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:56 | 0.37 | 64.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 19:44 | 0.14 | 34.1% | +7.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:37 | 0.20 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:33 | 0.13 | 36.1% | +7.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:29 | 0.05 | 78.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:09 | 0.01 | 59.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:39 | 0.19 | 36.2% | +4.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:19 | 0.01 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 15:15 | 0.40 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:10 | 0.19 | 80.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:47 | 0.15 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:11 | 0.12 | 83.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:04 | 0.11 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:36 | 0.10 | 59.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:43 | 0.08 | 66.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 2.26 | −0.7 | 57:43 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 23:10 | 0.02 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 21:34 | 0.10 | 67.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:23 | 0.01 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:55 | 0.00 | 27.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 18:44 | 0.44 | 40.2% | +13.3 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 17:06 | 1.08 | 49.3% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:37 | 0.00 | 24.7% | +9.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 16:01 | 0.16 | 33.3% | +8.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:53 | 0.01 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 15:05 | 0.02 | 41.9% | +9.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 15:00 | 0.62 | 35.1% | +2.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:18 | 0.23 | 78.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:38 | 0.08 | 24.1% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 13:35 | 0.10 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:25 | 0.07 | 69.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:25 | 0.13 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:55 | 0.28 | 78.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:16 | 0.08 | 36.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 37 | 35 | 2 | .946 | 2.86 | +0.9 | 60:00 |