Wed, Jan 15, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Carolina Hurricanes 2, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 61% of the time.
52%
9%
8%
31%
BUF winsCAR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Aho–Roslovic–Jarvis | Staal–Martinook–Svechnikov | Necas–Kotkaniemi–Jaaska | Necas–Robinson–Kotkaniemi | Robinson–Drury–Blake | Drury–Blake–Jaaska | Martinook–Svechnikov–Drury | Necas–Kotkaniemi–Svechnikov | Burns–Slavin | Orlov–Chatfield | Gostisbehere–Walker | Orlov–Walker | Gostisbehere–Chatfield | Slavin–Walker | Burns–Gostisbehere | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lafferty–Malenstyn–Kozak | 4:100.21–0.02 | 0:570.02–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.13 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.02 | 1:080.00–0.03 | 2:080.10–0.00 | 3:040.00–0.01 | 0:490.02–0.01 | 1:070.00–0.15 | 2:260.11–0.03 | ||||
| Krebs–Quinn–Benson | 1:370.00–0.06 | 1:210.05–0.08 | 2:110.32–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.01 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 2:090.17–0.01 | 0:490.00–0.06 | 1:180.07–0.01 | 1:040.10–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||
| Zucker–Thompson–McLeod | 0:570.00–0.01 | 1:290.03–0.16 | 1:380.00–0.02 | 3:510.12–0.25 | 1:100.03–0.01 | 1:080.00–0.08 | |||||||||
| Tuch–McLeod–Peterka | 2:170.29–0.10 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.01 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:390.01–0.00 | 1:550.09–0.04 | 0:430.05–0.06 | 1:550.21–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.01 | ||||||
| Tuch–Cozens–Peterka | 2:430.08–0.34 | 0:310.00–0.09 | 0:550.00–0.09 | 2:140.08–0.17 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.24 | 0:530.00–0.11 | ||||||||
| Zucker–Thompson–Cozens | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:200.01–0.05 | 0:470.00–0.07 | 0:340.00–0.01 | 2:100.10–0.06 | 0:490.00–0.07 | 0:550.00–0.01 | ||||||||
| Clifton–Samuelsson | 1:310.00–0.01 | 2:340.01–0.10 | 0:400.06–0.00 | 2:460.00–0.10 | 1:400.00–0.07 | 0:350.01–0.00 | 2:320.08–0.24 | 3:310.01–0.01 | 2:350.06–0.07 | 1:030.00–0.10 | 0:390.00–0.01 | ||||
| Dahlin–Byram | 2:070.20–0.06 | 2:170.02–0.13 | 1:100.22–0.01 | 1:140.00–0.03 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 4:090.02–0.12 | 1:450.09–0.12 | 1:440.20–0.01 | 0:340.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Jokiharju–Power | 3:590.21–0.15 | 1:250.08–0.00 | 1:560.07–0.09 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.01 | 5:000.34–0.12 | 1:290.00–0.01 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.11 | ||||||
| Dahlin–Power | 1:170.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:200.12–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Byram–Power | 1:010.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:460.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.01 | ||||||||||
| Jokiharju–Byram | 0:580.11–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.03 | 0:480.00–0.01 | 1:520.11–0.03 | |||||||||||
| Samuelsson–Dahlin | 0:340.00–0.08 | 1:210.07–0.13 | 1:150.07–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.13 | |||||||||||
| Jokiharju–Dahlin | 0:370.00–0.03 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.01 | |||||||||||
| Clifton–Power | 0:400.00–0.23 | 0:570.00–0.24 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Owen PowerBUF | 25 | 23:10 | 0:56 | 1:42 | 4 | 6 |
 Brent BurnsCAR | 26 | 22:46 | 0:53 | 1:52 | 4 | 4 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 26 | 21:34 | 0:50 | 1:34 | 2 | 7 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 25 | 21:23 | 0:51 | 1:55 | 4 | 5 |
 Sebastian AhoCAR | 22 | 20:40 | 0:56 | 1:47 | 6 | 1 |
 Jaccob SlavinCAR | 24 | 20:39 | 0:52 | 1:35 | 2 | 3 |
 Andrei SvechnikovCAR | 21 | 19:56 | 0:57 | 2:19 | 7 | 4 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 23 | 19:55 | 0:52 | 1:41 | 0 | 3 |
 Shayne GostisbehereCAR | 18 | 19:44 | 1:06 | 2:55 | 4 | 0 |
 Seth JarvisCAR | 23 | 19:37 | 0:51 | 1:43 | 7 | 1 |
 Martin NecasCAR | 19 | 19:33 | 1:02 | 1:54 | 5 | 0 |
 Dmitry OrlovCAR | 21 | 19:29 | 0:56 | 1:33 | 2 | 1 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 22 | 18:44 | 0:51 | 1:51 | 1 | 6 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 23 | 17:06 | 0:45 | 1:31 | 4 | 6 |
 Connor CliftonBUF | 19 | 16:37 | 0:52 | 2:13 | 0 | 2 |
 Jalen ChatfieldCAR | 21 | 16:09 | 0:46 | 1:41 | 1 | 1 |
 Jason ZuckerBUF | 19 | 16:01 | 0:51 | 1:22 | 5 | 1 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 20 | 15:53 | 0:48 | 1:33 | 1 | 2 |
 Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR | 18 | 15:39 | 0:52 | 1:41 | 3 | 0 |
 Sean WalkerCAR | 19 | 15:19 | 0:48 | 1:33 | 2 | 0 |
 Jack RoslovicCAR | 18 | 15:15 | 0:51 | 1:25 | 4 | 0 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 22 | 15:05 | 0:41 | 1:41 | 1 | 2 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 19 | 15:00 | 0:47 | 1:33 | 5 | 2 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 18 | 14:18 | 0:48 | 1:34 | 0 | 2 |
 Jack DruryCAR | 18 | 14:10 | 0:47 | 1:38 | 3 | 0 |
 Jordan MartinookCAR | 18 | 13:47 | 0:46 | 1:33 | 3 | 6 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 19 | 13:38 | 0:43 | 1:43 | 1 | 3 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 17 | 13:35 | 0:48 | 1:51 | 1 | 2 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 17 | 13:25 | 0:47 | 1:31 | 1 | 1 |
 Sam LaffertyBUF | 20 | 13:25 | 0:40 | 1:34 | 1 | 2 |
 Jackson BlakeCAR | 18 | 13:11 | 0:44 | 1:22 | 4 | 0 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 17 | 12:55 | 0:46 | 1:36 | 0 | 3 |
 Tyson KozakBUF | 19 | 12:16 | 0:39 | 1:41 | 1 | 2 |
 Eric RobinsonCAR | 15 | 12:04 | 0:48 | 1:19 | 3 | 0 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 18 | 11:36 | 0:39 | 1:01 | 2 | 6 |
 Juha JaaskaCAR | 14 | 10:43 | 0:46 | 1:36 | 1 | 0 |