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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 8, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Detroit Red Wings 3

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

6

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 70% of the time.

DET winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:28Goal by Hagel (Kucherov, Cernak)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Tarasenko, Gustafsson, Copp, DeBrincat · TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Hagel

  3. P1 2:08Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Lyon
  4. P1 2:56Goal by Cernak (Kucherov, McDonagh)+12 pts WP

    On ice: DET Larkin, Veleno, Johansson, Raymond, Edvinsson · TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Guentzel, Cernak, Cirelli

  5. P1 3:33Shot by Raymond, saved by Vasilevskiy
  6. P1 6:37Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 6:41Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 7:40Shot by Hagel, saved by Talbot
  9. P1 9:28Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 9:47Goal by Tarasenko (Seider, DeBrincat)+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Tarasenko, Copp, DeBrincat, Seider · TBL Kucherov, Glendening, Cernak, Chaffee, Lilleberg

  11. P1 11:28Shot by Raddysh, saved by Talbot
  12. P1 11:49Goal by Point (Goncalves, Hagel)+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Tarasenko, Copp, DeBrincat, Johansson, Edvinsson · TBL Hedman, Point, Raddysh, Hagel, Goncalves

  13. P1 14:17Shot by Soderblom, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P1 14:19Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P1 15:13Goal by Paul (Hagel, Cernak)+10 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Kasper · TBL McDonagh, Paul, Cernak, Hagel, Eyssimont

  16. P1 16:46Kucherov: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Tarasenko, Copp, DeBrincat, Seider · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Cirelli, Perbix, Lilleberg

  17. P1 16:54Goal by Kane (DeBrincat, Raymond)5v4+10 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · TBL McDonagh, Glendening, Girgensons, Cernak

  18. P1 19:00Shot by Seider, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 19:20Shot by Chiarot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:36Shot by Kane, saved by Vasilevskiy
  23. P2 0:48Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  24. P2 1:38Shot by Kucherov, saved by Talbot
  25. P2 1:58Shot by Raddysh, saved by Talbot
  26. P2 4:10Shot by McDonagh, saved by Talbot
  27. P2 4:57Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  28. P2 6:17Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  29. P2 6:30Kucherov: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kane, Rasmussen, Johansson, Soderblom, Edvinsson · TBL Kucherov, Cirelli, Hagel, Perbix, Lilleberg

  30. P2 6:38Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  31. P2 6:45Shot by Kane, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  32. P2 7:02Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  33. P2 7:03Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  34. P2 7:15Shot by Raymond, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  35. P2 7:56Shot by Seider, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  36. P2 8:23Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  37. P2 9:11Shot by Point, saved by Talbot
  38. P2 10:03Shot by Seider, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 11:32Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 11:59Shot by Kasper, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 12:06Shot by Kasper, saved by Vasilevskiy
  42. P2 12:35Shot by Kasper, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P2 14:29Goal by DeBrincat, unassisted+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Tarasenko, Copp, DeBrincat, Seider · TBL Hedman, Glendening, Raddysh, Eyssimont, Chaffee

  44. P2 16:18Shot by Raymond, saved by Vasilevskiy
  45. P2 16:32Shot by Kane, saved by Vasilevskiy
  46. P2 18:46Shot by Point, saved by Talbot
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 1:38Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P3 1:46Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  51. P3 3:39Shot by Guentzel, saved by Talbot
  52. P3 3:40Shot by Cirelli, saved by Talbot
  53. P3 4:06Shot by Perbix, saved by Talbot
  54. P3 4:10Goal by Duke (Chaffee, Perbix)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Holl, Gustafsson, Compher, Veleno, Berggren · TBL Hedman, Glendening, Perbix, Chaffee, Duke

  55. P3 4:35Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Vasilevskiy
  56. P3 4:54Shot by Point, saved by Talbot
  57. P3 7:26Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  58. P3 11:50Shot by Kasper, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P3 14:31Shot by Copp, saved by Vasilevskiy
  60. P3 15:31Shot by Kane, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P3 15:38Shot by Raymond, saved by Vasilevskiy
  62. P3 17:57Goal by Hagel (Kucherov, McDonagh)6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: DET Gustafsson, Copp, Compher, Rasmussen, Berggren, Kasper · TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Point, Hagel, Perbix

  63. P3 0:00Edvinsson: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: DET Rasmussen, Johansson, Soderblom, Edvinsson, Kasper · TBL Girgensons, Paul, Cernak, Eyssimont, Perbix

  64. P3 0:00Period end
  65. P3 0:00Final