Sat, Feb 8, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Detroit Red Wings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 70% of the time.
61%
9%
23%
DET winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Kucherov–Guentzel–Cirelli | Point–Hagel–Goncalves | Girgensons–Paul–Eyssimont | Glendening–Chaffee–Duke | Kucherov–Guentzel–Point | Kucherov–Cirelli–Hagel | Kucherov–Guentzel–Paul | Kucherov–Point–Hagel | Girgensons–Paul–Hagel | Paul–Eyssimont–Goncalves | Guentzel–Point–Goncalves | McDonagh–Cernak | Hedman–Raddysh | Perbix–Lilleberg | Hedman–Perbix | Raddysh–Lilleberg | McDonagh–Perbix | Hedman–Cernak | McDonagh–Raddysh | Cernak–Lilleberg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larkin–Raymond–Kasper | 7:020.40–0.34 | 0:410.00–0.06 | 1:510.12–0.01 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 7:450.10–0.35 | 2:430.48–0.08 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:030.12–0.05 | 0:470.00–0.06 | |||||||||
| Kane–Rasmussen–Soderblom | 1:250.00–0.15 | 3:180.05–0.01 | 2:240.24–0.10 | 0:440.02–0.00 | 2:210.00–0.01 | 3:160.05–0.03 | 3:350.26–0.07 | 1:300.00–0.15 | ||||||||||||
| Tarasenko–Copp–DeBrincat | 2:250.15–0.00 | 2:580.16–0.52 | 1:150.00–0.06 | 1:160.22–0.00 | 0:380.04–0.00 | 1:450.15–0.07 | 3:580.20–0.27 | 0:520.23–0.31 | 2:210.09–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:330.05–0.00 | 0:330.17–0.00 | ||||||||
| Compher–Veleno–Berggren | 1:420.00–0.00 | 1:560.17–0.00 | 3:400.01–0.12 | 0:310.00–0.14 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 2:320.00–0.00 | 2:180.00–0.00 | 2:180.17–0.14 | 1:000.01–0.12 | 1:170.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Kane–Compher–Soderblom | 0:420.00–0.03 | 0:390.00–0.03 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Johansson–Edvinsson | 3:470.08–0.31 | 6:020.16–0.53 | 1:190.00–0.00 | 2:040.14–0.00 | 1:140.02–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:590.21–0.00 | 7:020.16–0.14 | 4:390.17–0.21 | 2:330.16–0.31 | 1:050.09–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.15 | 2:080.21–0.02 | |||||||
| Chiarot–Seider | 6:400.27–0.13 | 2:390.05–0.06 | 3:100.19–0.12 | 0:510.08–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 5:110.09–0.24 | 5:370.52–0.06 | 2:420.16–0.06 | 1:190.12–0.15 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 1:140.05–0.06 | 0:460.17–0.00 | |||||||
| Holl–Gustafsson | 3:520.00–0.04 | 3:190.10–0.12 | 1:160.00–0.17 | 0:340.04–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 3:030.00–0.00 | 2:080.00–0.03 | 2:410.00–0.15 | 2:010.01–0.12 | 1:170.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.03 | |||||||||
| Gustafsson–Seider | 1:000.23–0.21 | 0:520.00–0.21 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Gustafsson–Edvinsson |
Every shift, one row per player.
DETTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Moritz SeiderDET | 26 | 24:29 | 0:57 | 3:03 | 4 | 3 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 24 | 23:37 | 0:59 | 2:44 | 1 | 4 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 30 | 22:54 | 0:46 | 2:37 | 0 | 8 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 22 | 22:15 | 1:01 | 2:39 | 3 | 0 |
 Simon EdvinssonDET | 27 | 22:11 | 0:49 | 1:25 | 4 | 4 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 31 | 22:01 | 0:43 | 1:54 | 2 | 6 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 21 | 20:18 | 0:58 | 2:29 | 4 | 1 |
 Albert JohanssonDET | 27 | 20:08 | 0:45 | 1:23 | 4 | 4 |
 Dylan LarkinDET | 23 | 20:06 | 0:52 | 2:16 | 4 | 3 |
 Lucas RaymondDET | 23 | 20:05 | 0:52 | 2:28 | 4 | 3 |
 Nick PerbixTBL | 27 | 19:47 | 0:44 | 1:44 | 3 | 3 |
 Patrick KaneDET | 21 | 19:26 | 0:56 | 2:14 | 7 | 1 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 23 | 19:21 | 0:50 | 1:54 | 2 | 5 |
 Ben ChiarotDET | 25 | 18:42 | 0:45 | 1:09 | 2 | 3 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 21 | 18:10 | 0:52 | 2:13 | 3 | 3 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 18 | 17:48 | 0:59 | 2:38 | 2 | 2 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 21 | 17:12 | 0:49 | 1:17 | 2 | 3 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 21 | 17:11 | 0:49 | 1:37 | 1 | 7 |
 Marco KasperDET | 21 | 17:02 | 0:49 | 1:32 | 1 | 3 |
 Erik GustafssonDET | 19 | 17:02 | 0:54 | 1:45 | 3 | 0 |
 Alex DeBrincatDET | 20 | 15:22 | 0:46 | 1:58 | 5 | 3 |
 Michael RasmussenDET | 20 | 14:42 | 0:44 | 1:31 | 6 | 1 |
 Elmer SoderblomDET | 20 | 14:37 | 0:44 | 1:31 | 5 | 1 |
 Vladimir TarasenkoDET | 20 | 14:10 | 0:43 | 1:52 | 6 | 3 |
 Emil LillebergTBL | 22 | 14:08 | 0:39 | 1:08 | 3 | 1 |
 J.T. CompherDET | 17 | 13:29 | 0:48 | 1:45 | 0 | 1 |
 Andrew CoppDET | 20 | 13:20 | 0:40 | 1:10 | 5 | 3 |
 Justin HollDET | 17 | 13:16 | 0:47 | 1:45 | 1 | 1 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 18 | 12:56 | 0:43 | 1:28 | 1 | 5 |
 Jonatan BerggrenDET | 17 | 12:53 | 0:45 | 1:21 | 1 | 2 |
 Gage GoncalvesTBL | 18 | 12:37 | 0:42 | 1:30 | 2 | 1 |
 Michael EyssimontTBL | 17 | 12:10 | 0:43 | 1:17 | 1 | 2 |
 Joseph VelenoDET | 16 | 11:16 | 0:42 | 1:10 | 0 | 2 |
 Luke GlendeningTBL | 16 | 10:02 | 0:38 | 1:28 | 3 | 4 |
 Mitchell ChaffeeTBL | 13 | 7:47 | 0:36 | 1:07 | 3 | 0 |
 Dylan DukeTBL | 13 | 7:38 | 0:35 | 1:06 | 3 | 1 |