Sat, Feb 8, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Detroit Red Wings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 70% of the time.
61%
9%
23%
DET winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:37 | 0.00 | 46.1% | 0.0 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 1 | 22:54 | 0.01 | 42.2% | +12.3 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 22:15 | 0.25 | 55.8% | +25.9 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 22:01 | 0.03 | 41.6% | +35.4 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:18 | 0.29 | 45.7% | 0.0 |
 Nick PerbixD · #48 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 19:47 | 0.06 | 48.1% | +16.3 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 3 | 19:21 | 0.78 | 58.3% | +38.1 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:10 | 0.23 | 50.9% | 0.0 |
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:48 | 0.05 | 40.0% | 0.0 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 4 | 17:12 | 0.59 | 50.8% | +13.5 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:11 | 0.21 | 40.8% | +10.2 |
 Emil LillebergD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:08 | 0.00 | 40.6% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:56 | 0.00 | 19.9% | 0.0 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:37 | 0.00 | 57.7% | +13.5 |
 Michael EyssimontC · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:10 | 0.10 | 31.8% | 0.0 |
 Luke GlendeningC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:02 | 0.00 | 14.6% | 0.0 |
 Mitchell ChaffeeRW · #41 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 7:47 | 0.00 | 16.3% | +16.3 |
 Dylan DukeLW · #53 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 7:38 | 0.11 | 26.8% | +16.3 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | W | 37 | 34 | 3 | .919 | 3.89 | +0.9 | 60:00 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Moritz SeiderD · #53 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 24:29 | 0.06 | 66.4% | +12.8 |
 Simon EdvinssonD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 22:11 | 0.02 | 50.7% | 0.0 |
 Albert JohanssonD · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 20:08 | 0.00 | 52.8% | 0.0 |
 Dylan LarkinC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 20:06 | 0.63 | 62.6% | 0.0 |
 Lucas RaymondLW · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 20:05 | 0.42 | 54.1% | +9.9 |
 Patrick KaneRW · #88 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19:26 | 0.41 | 65.8% | +9.9 |
 Ben ChiarotD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:42 | 0.15 | 62.8% | 0.0 |
 Marco KasperC · #92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 17:02 | 0.16 | 52.1% | 0.0 |
 Erik GustafssonD · #56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 17:02 | 0.05 | 48.0% | 0.0 |
 Alex DeBrincatRW · #93 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15:22 | 0.51 | 59.4% | +38.8 |
 Michael RasmussenC · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:42 | 0.39 | 53.3% | 0.0 |
 Elmer SoderblomLW · #85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:37 | 0.07 | 51.5% | 0.0 |
 Vladimir TarasenkoRW · #11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14:10 | 0.59 | 59.4% | +12.8 |
 J.T. CompherLW · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:29 | 0.17 | 43.1% | 0.0 |
 Andrew CoppC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:20 | 0.02 | 59.4% | 0.0 |
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:16 | 0.02 | 42.4% | 0.0 |
 Jonatan BerggrenRW · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:53 | 0.21 | 61.1% | 0.0 |
 Joseph VelenoC · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:16 | 0.00 | 38.7% | 0.0 |
 Alex Lyon#34 | – | 3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 0.19 | −1.8 | 2:56 |
 Cam Talbot#39 | L | 14 | 11 | 3 | .786 | 1.92 | −1.1 | 54:48 |