Tue, Feb 25, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington
Calgary Flames 3, Washington Capitals 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 53% of the time.
43%
10%
9%
38%
WSH winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 25:33 | 0.15 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 23:31 | 0.25 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 23:01 | 0.00 | 45.3% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:41 | 0.01 | 72.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:58 | 0.04 | 39.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:57 | 0.24 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:12 | 0.30 | 43.3% | +10.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 17:59 | 0.16 | 49.7% | +14.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:40 | 0.15 | 53.5% | +10.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:37 | 0.00 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:04 | 0.00 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:24 | 0.15 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:08 | 0.41 | 68.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:22 | 0.00 | 53.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:03 | 0.07 | 73.4% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:51 | 0.00 | 65.6% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 10:29 | 0.13 | 89.8% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 10:10 | 0.15 | 92.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 26 | 1 | .963 | 2.36 | +1.4 | 60:00 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 27:15 | 0.11 | 50.3% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 26:18 | 0.09 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 23:36 | 0.50 | 35.8% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:16 | 0.22 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 20:07 | 0.24 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:24 | 0.09 | 35.7% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 17:48 | 0.31 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:26 | 0.11 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:43 | 0.06 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:35 | 0.00 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:05 | 0.00 | 65.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:50 | 0.23 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:00 | 0.13 | 77.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:10 | 0.16 | 77.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:23 | 0.00 | 89.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:00 | 0.11 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:06 | 0.00 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:28 | 0.00 | 24.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 2.21 | −0.8 | 55:30 |