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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 25, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington

Calgary Flames 3, Washington Capitals 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 53% of the time.

WSH winsCGY wins

Calgary Flames

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

MacKenzie WeegarD · #52000+1325:330.1560.8%0.0
Rasmus AnderssonD · #4000+1123:310.2544.6%0.0
Kevin BahlD · #7011+1023:010.0045.3%+14.4
Joel HanleyD · #44000+1219:410.0172.4%0.0
Mikael BacklundC · #110000218:580.0439.3%0.0
Blake ColemanLW · #200000218:570.2445.3%0.0
Nazem KadriC · #91011+1318:120.3043.3%+10.9
Matt CoronatoRW · #27101+2117:590.1649.7%+14.4
Jonathan HuberdeauLW · #10101+1217:400.1553.5%+10.9
Yegor SharangovichC · #170000114:370.0062.8%0.0
Connor ZaryC · #470000014:040.0039.9%0.0
Joel FarabeeLW · #860000113:240.1559.7%0.0
Morgan FrostC · #160000213:080.4168.8%0.0
Brayden PachalD · #94000+1012:220.0053.8%0.0
Martin PospisilC · #76101+1112:030.0773.4%+16.9
Ilya SolovyovD · #98011+1011:510.0065.6%+16.9
Ryan LombergLW · #70011+2210:290.1389.8%+16.9
Kevin RooneyC · #21000+2210:100.1592.0%0.0
Dan Vladar#80W27261.9632.36+1.460:00

Washington Capitals

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

John CarlsonD · #74011−1427:150.1150.3%+15.8
Jakob ChychrunD · #6000−1226:180.0949.2%0.0
Alex OvechkinLW · #81010523:360.5035.8%+15.8
Pierre-Luc DuboisC · #80000−2121:160.2241.4%0.0
Tom WilsonRW · #43000−2320:070.2433.3%0.0
Dylan StromeC · #170110219:240.0935.7%+15.8
Connor McMichaelLW · #24000−2317:480.3142.0%0.0
Aliaksei ProtasLW · #210000117:260.1137.8%0.0
Matt RoyD · #3000−1116:430.0631.9%0.0
Rasmus SandinD · #38000−2015:350.0031.1%0.0
Martin FehérváryD · #420000015:050.0065.0%0.0
Trevor van RiemsdykD · #57000−1014:500.2351.0%0.0
Lars EllerC · #200000314:000.1377.7%0.0
Andrew MangiapaneLW · #880000012:100.1677.7%0.0
Ethen FrankRW · #530000111:230.0089.6%0.0
Brandon DuhaimeLW · #22000−1110:000.1147.5%0.0
Taylor RaddyshRW · #16000−109:060.0047.5%0.0
Nic DowdC · #26000−108:280.0024.9%0.0
Logan Thompson#48L25223.8802.21−0.855:30