Tue, Feb 25, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington
Calgary Flames 3, Washington Capitals 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 53% of the time.
43%
10%
9%
38%
WSH winsCGY wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CGY's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Kadri–Huberdeau–Coronato | Backlund–Coleman–Zary | Frost–Farabee–Sharangovich | Lomberg–Rooney–Pospisil | Backlund–Pospisil–Zary | Weegar–Hanley | Andersson–Bahl | Pachal–Solovyov | Weegar–Bahl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilson–Dubois–McMichael | 5:380.25–0.25 | 0:490.08–0.00 | 2:460.09–0.34 | 2:280.00–0.50 | 5:070.33–0.13 | 2:510.09–0.22 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||
| Ovechkin–Strome–Protas | 0:480.15–0.00 | 2:330.07–0.44 | 1:130.03–0.01 | 3:180.00–0.14 | 3:540.07–0.09 | 5:070.19–0.36 | 0:530.00–0.22 | ||
| Eller–Mangiapane–Frank | 3:450.25–0.04 | 1:190.00–0.00 | 1:320.04–0.00 | 0:350.05–0.00 | 3:410.16–0.03 | 1:240.00–0.01 | 3:000.17–0.01 | ||
| Dowd–Raddysh–Duhaime | 0:450.00–0.05 | 1:320.07–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.15 | 1:190.00–0.05 | 1:500.07–0.08 | 1:020.00–0.07 | ||
| Eller–Raddysh–Duhaime | 0:400.11–0.00 | 0:350.01–0.00 | 0:350.07–0.00 | ||||||
| Eller–Raddysh–Protas | 1:180.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Ovechkin–Strome–McMichael | 0:300.00–0.02 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Roy–Fehérváry | 5:030.25–0.02 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.07 | 1:540.04–0.00 | 2:240.04–0.00 | 3:570.25–0.02 | 3:030.00–0.07 | ||
| Carlson–Sandin | 2:060.07–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.00 | 3:010.14–0.08 | 1:500.00–0.17 | 4:180.01–0.09 | 3:010.08–0.21 | 1:020.00–0.00 | ||
| Carlson–Chychrun | 0:350.08–0.02 | 2:590.14–0.31 | 1:170.09–0.01 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 0:500.09–0.00 | 3:110.19–0.00 | 4:270.23–0.32 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |
| van Riemsdyk–Chychrun | 1:110.00–0.00 | 2:380.31–0.01 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.07 | 1:140.00–0.00 | 2:260.13–0.00 | 2:330.17–0.17 | 0:440.00–0.00 | |
| Roy–Chychrun | 1:000.00–0.02 | 0:470.08–0.13 | 1:290.00–0.27 | 0:480.00–0.05 | 0:590.07–0.13 | ||||
| van Riemsdyk–Sandin | 0:530.11–0.07 | 1:190.02–0.14 | 1:200.00–0.00 | 1:040.02–0.14 | |||||
| van Riemsdyk–Fehérváry | 0:540.00–0.03 | 0:560.00–0.03 | 0:590.00–0.01 | ||||||
| Roy–Sandin | 0:370.04–0.00 | 0:560.04–0.33 |
Every shift, one row per player.
WSHCGYFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 John CarlsonWSH | 23 | 27:15 | 1:11 | 3:20 | 5 | 7 |
 Jakob ChychrunWSH | 22 | 26:18 | 1:12 | 3:48 | 2 | 4 |
 MacKenzie WeegarCGY | 33 | 25:33 | 0:46 | 1:26 | 3 | 4 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 20 | 23:36 | 1:11 | 3:13 | 5 | 1 |
 Rasmus AnderssonCGY | 31 | 23:31 | 0:46 | 2:03 | 5 | 7 |
 Kevin BahlCGY | 31 | 23:01 | 0:45 | 1:40 | 3 | 7 |
 Pierre-Luc DuboisWSH | 21 | 21:16 | 1:01 | 3:13 | 6 | 5 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 24 | 20:07 | 0:50 | 1:24 | 6 | 4 |
 Joel HanleyCGY | 28 | 19:41 | 0:42 | 1:26 | 0 | 3 |
 Dylan StromeWSH | 21 | 19:24 | 0:55 | 3:13 | 9 | 2 |
 Mikael BacklundCGY | 23 | 18:58 | 0:49 | 1:43 | 1 | 12 |
 Blake ColemanCGY | 22 | 18:57 | 0:52 | 1:30 | 2 | 11 |
 Nazem KadriCGY | 22 | 18:12 | 0:50 | 1:44 | 2 | 1 |
 Matt CoronatoCGY | 22 | 17:59 | 0:49 | 1:59 | 3 | 2 |
 Connor McMichaelWSH | 21 | 17:48 | 0:51 | 1:27 | 4 | 6 |
 Jonathan HuberdeauCGY | 23 | 17:40 | 0:46 | 1:45 | 4 | 1 |
 Aliaksei ProtasWSH | 22 | 17:26 | 0:48 | 1:40 | 5 | 3 |
 Matt RoyWSH | 21 | 16:43 | 0:48 | 1:36 | 1 | 2 |
 Rasmus SandinWSH | 19 | 15:35 | 0:49 | 1:04 | 0 | 4 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 17 | 15:05 | 0:53 | 1:55 | 1 | 3 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykWSH | 18 | 14:50 | 0:49 | 1:35 | 1 | 3 |
 Yegor SharangovichCGY | 18 | 14:37 | 0:49 | 1:10 | 3 | 1 |
 Connor ZaryCGY | 17 | 14:04 | 0:50 | 1:41 | 2 | 4 |
 Lars EllerWSH | 16 | 14:00 | 0:53 | 1:33 | 2 | 3 |
 Joel FarabeeCGY | 17 | 13:24 | 0:47 | 1:15 | 3 | 2 |
 Morgan FrostCGY | 16 | 13:08 | 0:49 | 1:23 | 4 | 1 |
 Brayden PachalCGY | 19 | 12:22 | 0:39 | 1:23 | 1 | 1 |
 Andrew MangiapaneWSH | 15 | 12:10 | 0:49 | 1:22 | 2 | 4 |
 Martin PospisilCGY | 18 | 12:03 | 0:40 | 1:18 | 1 | 3 |
 Ilya SolovyovCGY | 19 | 11:51 | 0:37 | 1:24 | 2 | 1 |
 Ethen FrankWSH | 16 | 11:23 | 0:43 | 1:32 | 2 | 4 |
 Ryan LombergCGY | 15 | 10:29 | 0:42 | 1:25 | 1 | 0 |
 Kevin RooneyCGY | 17 | 10:10 | 0:36 | 0:59 | 1 | 0 |
 Brandon DuhaimeWSH | 14 | 10:00 | 0:43 | 1:23 | 0 | 5 |
 Taylor RaddyshWSH | 11 | 9:06 | 0:50 | 1:23 | 1 | 3 |
 Nic DowdWSH | 13 | 8:28 | 0:39 | 1:03 | 0 | 6 |