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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 27, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington

St. Louis Blues 5, Washington Capitals 2

Away

St. Louis Blues

5

Final

Home

Washington Capitals

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 70% of the time.

WSH winsSTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:19Shot by Parayko, saved by Lindgren
  3. P1 1:54Shot by Faulk, saved by Lindgren
  4. P1 2:21Shot by Strome, saved by Hofer
  5. P1 6:14Shot by Protas, saved by Hofer
  6. P1 7:24Buchnevich: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Strome, Chychrun, Raddysh, McMichael · STL Suter, Schenn, Leddy, Kyrou, Holloway

  7. P1 7:36Shot by Toropchenko, saved by Lindgren5v4
  8. P1 8:15Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Hofer5v4
  9. P1 8:23Shot by Walker, saved by Lindgren5v4
  10. P1 9:39Shot by Neighbours, saved by Lindgren
  11. P1 10:22Shot by Vrana, saved by Hofer
  12. P1 11:14Goal by Broberg (Joseph)+17 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Strome, Sandin, Protas · STL Schenn, Parayko, Joseph, Broberg, Bolduc

  13. P1 15:04Goal by Dubois (Raddysh, McMichael)+18 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Roy, Raddysh, Dubois, Fehérváry, McMichael · STL Suter, Leddy, Sundqvist, Joseph, Bolduc

  14. P1 17:45Goal by Broberg (Neighbours, Buchnevich)+19 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Strome, Fehérváry, Protas · STL Leddy, Buchnevich, Thomas, Broberg, Neighbours

  15. P1 19:55Shot by Kyrou, saved by Lindgren
  16. P1 0:00Period end
  17. P2 0:00Period start
  18. P2 1:49Shot by Dowd, saved by Hofer
  19. P2 1:54Shot by Duhaime, saved by Hofer
  20. P2 3:08Shot by Roy, saved by Hofer
  21. P2 3:50Shot by Protas, saved by Hofer
  22. P2 4:47Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Hofer
  23. P2 7:30Shot by Joseph, saved by Lindgren
  24. P2 7:32Mangiapane: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Eller, Carlson, Mangiapane, Sandin, Frank · STL Fowler, Sundqvist, Joseph, Broberg, Bolduc

  25. P2 8:46Shot by Kyrou, saved by Lindgren4v5
  26. P2 9:21Shot by Holloway, saved by Lindgren4v5
  27. P2 13:42Shot by Carlson, saved by Hofer
  28. P2 14:29Kyrou: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Eller, Carlson, Mangiapane, Sandin, Frank · STL Suter, Schenn, Kyrou, Broberg, Holloway

  29. P2 15:06Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Hofer5v4
  30. P2 16:55Goal by McMichael (Roy, Frank)+27 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Mangiapane, Roy, Chychrun, McMichael, Frank · STL Fowler, Sundqvist, Walker, Kyrou, Broberg

  31. P2 17:23Goal by Holloway (Suter, Schenn)+27 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Eller, Dowd, Roy, Chychrun, Protas · STL Suter, Schenn, Leddy, Holloway, Bolduc

  32. P2 17:53Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Lindgren
  33. P2 17:55Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Lindgren
  34. P2 17:58Goal by Parayko (Buchnevich, Thomas)+17 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Strome, Fehérváry, Sandin, McMichael · STL Fowler, Parayko, Buchnevich, Thomas, Neighbours

  35. P2 0:00Period end
  36. P3 0:00Period start
  37. P3 0:45Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Lindgren
  38. P3 7:33Shot by McMichael, saved by Hofer
  39. P3 11:06Shot by Bolduc, saved by Lindgren
  40. P3 12:39Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Hofer
  41. P3 13:08Shot by Strome, saved by Hofer
  42. P3 14:12Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Lindgren
  43. P3 15:54Shot by Sandin, saved by Hofer
  44. P3 16:58Shot by Chychrun, saved by Hofer
  45. P3 18:05Goal by Neighbours (Schenn, Faksa)6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Strome, Chychrun, Dubois, McMichael · STL Schenn, Faulk, Faksa, Broberg, Neighbours

  46. P3 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Final