Thu, Feb 27, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington
St. Louis Blues 5, Washington Capitals 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 70% of the time.
21%
9%
62%
WSH winsSTL wins
St. Louis Blues
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 21:24 | 0.32 | 55.1% | +35.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:13 | 0.01 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 20:49 | 0.13 | 76.4% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 19:21 | 0.47 | 84.9% | +35.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 19:13 | 0.39 | 80.8% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:10 | 0.06 | 79.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:06 | 0.00 | 37.1% | +26.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:05 | 0.00 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 17:35 | 0.62 | 78.0% | +19.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:52 | 0.27 | 36.6% | +26.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 0 | 15:39 | 0.13 | 50.4% | +27.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:07 | 0.09 | 32.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:15 | 0.04 | 28.4% | +0.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:51 | 0.12 | 40.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:48 | 0.19 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:42 | 0.00 | 42.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:43 | 0.12 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:07 | 0.06 | 59.5% | +16.7 |
| W | 18 | 16 | 2 | .889 | 1.93 | −0.1 | 60:00 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 23:21 | 0.13 | 31.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:22 | 0.01 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 4 | 20:44 | 0.39 | 19.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:02 | 0.24 | 68.8% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:24 | 0.04 | 66.0% | +27.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:39 | 0.04 | 23.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 2 | 18:25 | 0.16 | 17.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18:25 | 0.31 | 37.2% | +45.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:18 | 0.00 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:45 | 0.00 | 35.7% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:12 | 0.00 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:39 | 0.06 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 14:30 | 0.21 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:53 | 0.11 | 65.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:14 | 0.13 | 38.6% | +27.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:38 | 0.00 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:31 | 0.04 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:22 | 0.09 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 18 | 14 | 4 | .778 | 2.44 | −1.6 | 58:36 |