Thu, Feb 27, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington
St. Louis Blues 5, Washington Capitals 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 70% of the time.
21%
9%
62%
WSH winsSTL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against STL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Buchnevich–Thomas–Neighbours | Schenn–Kyrou–Holloway | Faksa–Walker–Toropchenko | Sundqvist–Joseph–Bolduc | Schenn–Holloway–Bolduc | Walker–Thomas–Neighbours | Sundqvist–Buchnevich–Joseph | Suter–Leddy | Faulk–Broberg | Fowler–Parayko | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raddysh–Dubois–McMichael | 4:120.01–0.10 | 0:440.12–0.00 | 1:310.13–0.00 | 1:460.00–0.00 | 3:250.00–0.10 | |||||
| Dowd–Vrana–Duhaime | 3:160.23–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 3:250.23–0.00 | 1:100.00–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.00 | ||||
| Ovechkin–Strome–Protas | 1:150.00–0.26 | 1:440.00–0.01 | 1:290.00–0.00 | 1:030.02–0.00 | 3:160.02–0.01 | 1:560.10–0.00 | ||||
| Eller–Mangiapane–Frank | 2:500.04–0.04 | 0:540.00–0.05 | 1:030.02–0.06 | 3:030.00–0.06 | 1:370.02–0.04 | |||||
| Dubois–McMichael–Protas | 1:540.17–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:030.02–0.00 | 2:110.02–0.00 | 2:200.16–0.00 | 0:300.09–0.00 | |||
| Dowd–Raddysh–Duhaime | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:440.00–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.12 | 2:190.00–0.12 | 1:290.00–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.00 | ||||
| Ovechkin–Strome–Frank | 1:480.00–0.13 | 0:510.00–0.13 | 1:370.12–0.15 | 1:480.00–0.11 | ||||||
| Eller–Vrana–Mangiapane | 1:160.03–0.00 | 1:110.03–0.00 | ||||||||
| Ovechkin–Strome–Dubois | 0:320.00–0.03 | |||||||||
| Roy–Fehérváry | 3:150.16–0.02 | 1:450.07–0.00 | 2:450.04–0.05 | 2:060.12–0.00 | 0:320.02–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 4:150.18–0.05 | 4:220.22–0.00 | 2:350.00–0.02 | |
| Carlson–Sandin | 2:500.01–0.09 | 2:500.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 1:290.02–0.06 | 0:420.05–0.00 | 4:000.01–0.00 | 3:320.07–0.00 | 1:370.13–0.08 | ||
| van Riemsdyk–Chychrun | 2:030.00–0.06 | 1:530.20–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.01 | 1:420.00–0.00 | 1:230.17–0.00 | 1:580.00–0.01 | 3:500.00–0.00 | |||
| Carlson–Chychrun | 1:490.01–0.19 | 1:270.00–0.13 | 0:530.03–0.00 | 0:320.02–0.00 | 1:460.05–0.00 | 2:110.00–0.15 | 1:540.09–0.18 | |||
| van Riemsdyk–Sandin | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.01 | 1:240.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.12 | 1:340.00–0.12 | 1:060.12–0.00 | 2:210.01–0.00 | |||
| Roy–Chychrun | 0:560.00–0.04 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:120.00–0.06 | 1:160.00–0.06 | 1:280.00–0.04 | |||||
| Roy–Sandin | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | |||||||
| van Riemsdyk–Fehérváry | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Carlson–Fehérváry | 0:310.00–0.20 | 0:330.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
WSHSTLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 John CarlsonWSH | 22 | 23:21 | 1:04 | 3:21 | 4 | 0 |
 Philip BrobergSTL | 24 | 21:24 | 0:54 | 1:59 | 1 | 3 |
 Jakob ChychrunWSH | 21 | 21:22 | 1:01 | 2:10 | 3 | 0 |
 Justin FaulkSTL | 23 | 21:13 | 0:55 | 1:58 | 1 | 3 |
 Robert ThomasSTL | 24 | 20:49 | 0:52 | 1:28 | 2 | 5 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 19 | 20:44 | 1:05 | 2:08 | 8 | 0 |
 Pierre-Luc DuboisWSH | 20 | 20:02 | 1:00 | 2:14 | 6 | 0 |
 Matt RoyWSH | 22 | 19:24 | 0:53 | 1:32 | 2 | 1 |
 Pavel BuchnevichSTL | 23 | 19:21 | 0:50 | 1:27 | 2 | 5 |
 Colton ParaykoSTL | 27 | 19:13 | 0:43 | 1:30 | 0 | 8 |
 Cam FowlerSTL | 27 | 19:10 | 0:43 | 1:31 | 0 | 6 |
 Ryan SuterSTL | 21 | 19:06 | 0:55 | 1:51 | 1 | 1 |
 Rasmus SandinWSH | 21 | 18:39 | 0:53 | 1:35 | 3 | 0 |
 Dylan StromeWSH | 18 | 18:25 | 1:01 | 1:46 | 7 | 0 |
 Connor McMichaelWSH | 20 | 18:25 | 0:55 | 2:12 | 3 | 1 |
 Nick LeddySTL | 21 | 18:05 | 0:52 | 1:50 | 1 | 1 |
 Jake NeighboursSTL | 22 | 17:35 | 0:48 | 1:21 | 0 | 5 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykWSH | 19 | 17:18 | 0:55 | 1:29 | 1 | 1 |
 Taylor RaddyshWSH | 17 | 16:45 | 0:59 | 2:04 | 3 | 1 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 22 | 16:12 | 0:44 | 1:09 | 0 | 3 |
 Dylan HollowaySTL | 20 | 15:52 | 0:48 | 1:44 | 1 | 0 |
 Brayden SchennSTL | 21 | 15:39 | 0:45 | 1:36 | 1 | 1 |
 Nic DowdWSH | 19 | 14:39 | 0:46 | 1:20 | 0 | 4 |
 Aliaksei ProtasWSH | 16 | 14:30 | 0:54 | 1:29 | 1 | 0 |
 Jordan KyrouSTL | 19 | 14:07 | 0:45 | 1:56 | 1 | 0 |
 Brandon DuhaimeWSH | 18 | 13:53 | 0:46 | 1:18 | 0 | 4 |
 Radek FaksaSTL | 21 | 13:15 | 0:38 | 1:04 | 0 | 6 |
 Ethen FrankWSH | 15 | 13:14 | 0:53 | 1:19 | 4 | 0 |
 Alexey ToropchenkoSTL | 18 | 12:51 | 0:43 | 1:11 | 0 | 1 |
 Nathan WalkerSTL | 17 | 12:48 | 0:45 | 2:00 | 0 | 1 |
 Oskar SundqvistSTL | 18 | 12:42 | 0:42 | 1:55 | 1 | 5 |
 Zachary BolducSTL | 17 | 11:43 | 0:41 | 1:56 | 1 | 2 |
 Andrew MangiapaneWSH | 15 | 11:38 | 0:47 | 1:19 | 0 | 0 |
 Lars EllerWSH | 14 | 11:31 | 0:49 | 1:13 | 0 | 0 |
 Mathieu JosephSTL | 16 | 11:07 | 0:42 | 1:47 | 1 | 2 |
 Jakub VranaWSH | 12 | 9:22 | 0:47 | 1:21 | 0 | 0 |