Sat, Mar 1, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Montréal Canadiens 4, Buffalo Sabres 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 73% of the time.
19%
8%
66%
BUF winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 26:34 | 0.00 | 36.2% | +28.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 21:58 | 0.14 | 79.3% | +48.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:29 | 0.25 | 49.3% | +17.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:21 | 0.04 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:58 | 0.29 | 36.6% | +17.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:17 | 0.04 | 74.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 16:27 | 0.89 | 67.9% | +27.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:14 | 0.69 | 27.7% | +7.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:05 | 0.00 | 20.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:47 | 0.15 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:35 | 0.01 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:41 | 0.14 | 72.7% | +20.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13:58 | 0.21 | 72.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:41 | 0.19 | 61.9% | +28.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:18 | 0.10 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:25 | 0.10 | 78.7% | +17.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:29 | 0.26 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:43 | 0.03 | 64.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 2.16 | +0.2 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 24:44 | 0.20 | 31.3% | +17.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:07 | 0.18 | 28.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 20:22 | 0.15 | 88.1% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:17 | 0.21 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:01 | 0.06 | 31.6% | +17.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:30 | 0.05 | 62.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:44 | 0.36 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:55 | 0.00 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.12 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:18 | 0.31 | 80.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 15:39 | 0.22 | 59.1% | +17.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:34 | 0.06 | 66.2% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:51 | 0.04 | 17.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:18 | 0.06 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:09 | 0.08 | 30.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:32 | 0.01 | 35.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:51 | 0.05 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:20 | 0.00 | 74.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.84 | −0.2 | 58:41 |