Sat, Mar 1, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Montréal Canadiens 4, Buffalo Sabres 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 73% of the time.
19%
8%
66%
BUF winsMTL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MTL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Gallagher–Anderson–Dvorak | Suzuki–Caufield–Slafkovský | Armia–Evans–Heineman | Laine–Newhook–Beck | Anderson–Dvorak–Evans | Matheson–Carrier | Struble–Hutson | Savard–Xhekaj | Carrier–Xhekaj | Savard–Struble | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuch–Greenway–Cozens | 1:580.00–0.00 | 3:170.33–0.00 | 1:470.09–0.00 | 1:220.00–0.00 | 2:090.18–0.00 | 2:220.08–0.00 | 3:230.21–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | ||
| Thompson–Peterka–Kulich | 2:220.12–0.02 | 2:350.07–0.03 | 1:430.00–0.00 | 5:180.11–0.02 | 1:330.10–0.03 | 0:300.07–0.00 | ||||
| Thompson–McLeod–Peterka | 1:340.04–0.18 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 2:160.00–0.18 | 0:360.00–0.10 | |||||
| Malenstyn–Krebs–Quinn | 2:260.05–0.07 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:370.05–0.07 | 0:440.00–0.00 | ||||||
| McLeod–Krebs–Quinn | 0:470.00–0.00 | 1:140.00–0.03 | 0:360.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Quinn–Kulich–Benson | 1:100.00–0.12 | 0:440.00–0.16 | 1:120.00–0.01 | |||||||
| Tuch–Greenway–McLeod | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:010.03–0.06 | 1:330.03–0.06 | |||||||
| Greenway–Cozens–Quinn | 0:330.00–0.03 | |||||||||
| Malenstyn–Krebs–Benson | 0:380.05–0.00 | 1:070.06–0.00 | ||||||||
| Malenstyn–McLeod–Benson | 1:020.00–0.05 | |||||||||
| Thompson–Cozens–Peterka | ||||||||||
| Dahlin–Byram | 3:250.20–0.96 | 3:570.05–0.23 | 1:370.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.07 | 4:200.11–0.18 | 5:240.15–1.12 | 1:290.05–0.05 | 0:410.05–0.00 | ||
| Samuelsson–Power | 0:530.00–0.01 | 1:260.09–0.00 | 1:550.09–0.03 | 2:170.03–0.09 | 2:300.02–0.00 | 2:450.03–0.09 | 2:260.16–0.01 | |||
| Clifton–Bryson | 1:100.04–0.15 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:390.08–0.00 | 1:080.05–0.00 | 1:260.08–0.02 | 1:390.09–0.10 | 0:540.00–0.00 | |||
| Dahlin–Power | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Clifton–Samuelsson | 1:060.00–0.02 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Gilbert–Bryson | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Bryson–Power | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:380.05–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.05 | 0:400.05–0.00 | ||||||
| Bryson–Byram | 1:070.11–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:070.19–0.00 | |||||||
| Clifton–Gilbert | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Gilbert–Power | 1:140.00–0.03 | 0:360.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Gilbert–Dahlin | 0:380.17–0.00 | 0:440.17–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFMTLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Mike MathesonMTL | 31 | 26:34 | 0:51 | 2:40 | 3 | 9 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 27 | 24:44 | 0:55 | 1:49 | 6 | 5 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 29 | 22:07 | 0:46 | 1:17 | 6 | 6 |
 Lane HutsonMTL | 25 | 21:58 | 0:53 | 1:32 | 8 | 0 |
 Nick SuzukiMTL | 25 | 20:29 | 0:49 | 1:38 | 5 | 3 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 26 | 20:22 | 0:47 | 1:45 | 3 | 4 |
 Alexandre CarrierMTL | 31 | 20:21 | 0:39 | 2:21 | 2 | 10 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 27 | 20:17 | 0:45 | 1:11 | 6 | 4 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 23 | 20:01 | 0:52 | 1:48 | 8 | 1 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 25 | 19:30 | 0:47 | 1:44 | 1 | 5 |
 Cole CaufieldMTL | 22 | 17:58 | 0:49 | 1:12 | 8 | 2 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 26 | 17:44 | 0:41 | 1:10 | 3 | 4 |
 Jayden StrubleMTL | 22 | 17:17 | 0:47 | 1:20 | 5 | 0 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 19 | 16:55 | 0:53 | 1:37 | 1 | 7 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 20 | 16:35 | 0:50 | 1:10 | 2 | 3 |
 Christian DvorakMTL | 22 | 16:27 | 0:45 | 1:41 | 1 | 7 |
 Jordan GreenwayBUF | 24 | 16:18 | 0:41 | 1:10 | 3 | 6 |
 Jake EvansMTL | 21 | 16:14 | 0:46 | 1:31 | 1 | 5 |
 Arber XhekajMTL | 20 | 16:05 | 0:48 | 1:41 | 2 | 2 |
 Juraj SlafkovskýMTL | 19 | 15:47 | 0:50 | 1:12 | 7 | 2 |
 Jiri KulichBUF | 22 | 15:39 | 0:43 | 1:33 | 4 | 5 |
 David SavardMTL | 20 | 15:35 | 0:47 | 1:26 | 0 | 3 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 24 | 15:34 | 0:39 | 1:03 | 0 | 4 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 20 | 14:51 | 0:45 | 1:13 | 2 | 1 |
 Josh AndersonMTL | 22 | 14:41 | 0:40 | 1:41 | 1 | 6 |
 Brendan GallagherMTL | 19 | 13:58 | 0:44 | 1:41 | 2 | 3 |
 Alex NewhookMTL | 18 | 13:41 | 0:46 | 1:01 | 6 | 1 |
 Joel ArmiaMTL | 17 | 13:18 | 0:47 | 1:29 | 2 | 4 |
 Connor CliftonBUF | 20 | 12:18 | 0:37 | 1:08 | 1 | 6 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 17 | 12:09 | 0:43 | 1:24 | 0 | 3 |
 Patrik LaineMTL | 14 | 11:25 | 0:49 | 1:55 | 6 | 0 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 15 | 10:32 | 0:42 | 1:02 | 0 | 1 |
 Emil HeinemanMTL | 15 | 10:29 | 0:42 | 1:06 | 2 | 2 |
 Owen BeckMTL | 14 | 9:43 | 0:42 | 1:04 | 4 | 0 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 13 | 8:51 | 0:41 | 1:05 | 0 | 2 |
 Dennis GilbertBUF | 12 | 7:20 | 0:37 | 0:58 | 1 | 1 |