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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 4, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Carolina Hurricanes 2, Detroit Red Wings 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 58% of the time.

DET winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Rantanen–Aho–JarvisHall–Kotkaniemi–BlakeStaal–Martinook–SvechnikovRoslovic–Jost–RobinsonBurns–SlavinOrlov–ChatfieldGostisbehere–WalkerSlavin–WalkerOrlov–Walker
Kane–Compher–DeBrincat2:150.12–0.244:130.00–0.702:410.15–0.200:410.14–0.152:200.10–0.126:060.31–0.671:470.01–0.28
Tarasenko–Veleno–Soderblom2:110.15–0.213:510.07–0.252:510.00–0.181:060.00–0.211:280.15–0.005:520.07–0.360:550.00–0.00
Larkin–Raymond–Kasper3:050.00–0.210:310.00–0.021:070.00–0.011:160.30–0.003:220.00–0.211:590.30–0.120:310.00–0.000:500.02–0.03
Motte–Fischer–Berggren1:540.49–0.081:130.02–0.011:490.49–0.08
Tarasenko–Berggren–Kasper0:530.00–0.111:340.10–0.071:050.06–0.071:170.04–0.11
Larkin–Soderblom–Raymond1:120.08–0.000:560.17–0.001:400.00–0.00
Fischer–Veleno–Berggren0:550.00–0.180:380.00–0.000:340.00–0.18
Johansson–Edvinsson6:000.25–0.392:090.00–0.253:350.04–0.222:170.02–0.254:070.04–0.394:380.18–0.216:180.08–0.50
Chiarot–Seider4:190.04–0.361:340.07–0.003:550.32–0.161:450.30–0.004:420.00–0.023:000.62–0.454:360.07–0.06
Holl–Gustafsson1:330.12–0.024:360.02–0.081:240.04–0.081:580.14–0.152:020.12–0.025:490.19–0.191:210.01–0.000:510.02–0.031:010.00–0.00
Chiarot–Gustafsson1:170.00–0.280:570.00–0.28
Chiarot–Edvinsson0:380.04–0.000:460.02–0.07
Gustafsson–Edvinsson0:460.00–0.001:000.00–0.00
Gustafsson–Johansson0:420.00–0.121:000.00–0.12
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndRaymond FLarkin FKasper FTarasenko FSoderblom FVeleno FKane FCompher FDeBrincat FBerggren FMotte FFischer FChiarot DSeider DJohansson DEdvinsson DGustafsson DHoll DLyon GAho FJarvis FRantanen FStaal FSvechnikov FMartinook FBlake FHall FKotkaniemi FRoslovic FRobinson FJost FBurns DSlavin DChatfield DOrlov DWalker DGostisbehere DAndersen G
DETCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jaccob SlavinCAR2723:240:522:0926
Simon EdvinssonDET2222:171:014:2413
Brent BurnsCAR2821:500:471:2626
Moritz SeiderDET2521:360:522:2122
Patrick KaneDET2320:280:531:5531
Alex DeBrincatDET2219:580:541:4741
Seth JarvisCAR2119:560:571:3452
Sebastian AhoCAR2019:450:591:3452
Dmitry OrlovCAR2419:410:491:1723
Jalen ChatfieldCAR2519:330:471:2013
Ben ChiarotDET2519:160:461:0825
Erik GustafssonDET2219:130:521:4750
Vladimir TarasenkoDET2019:040:571:4142
Albert JohanssonDET1917:510:564:2813
Mikko RantanenCAR1717:501:031:3840
J.T. CompherDET2017:350:531:4422
Dylan LarkinDET2217:030:471:4743
Sean WalkerCAR1816:500:561:4411
Shayne GostisbehereCAR1716:470:591:3121
Marco KasperDET2216:220:451:3534
Elmer SoderblomDET1916:190:521:4021
Jordan StaalCAR2115:560:461:1716
Jordan MartinookCAR2115:510:451:2416
Lucas RaymondDET2115:440:451:4642
Jackson BlakeCAR1615:440:591:3110
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR1615:240:581:3110
Andrei SvechnikovCAR2114:500:421:0205
Taylor HallCAR1614:070:531:1110
Justin HollDET1614:020:531:5130
Joseph VelenoDET1313:481:042:5412
Jonatan BerggrenDET1610:520:411:5031
Christian FischerDET1310:080:471:5320
Jack RoslovicCAR99:231:032:1711
Eric RobinsonCAR119:100:501:2911
Tyson JostCAR107:590:481:4311
Tyler MotteDET117:020:381:0011