Tue, Mar 4, 2025·American Airlines Center, Dallas
New Jersey Devils 3, Dallas Stars 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 62% of the time.
53%
9%
8%
30%
DAL winsNJD wins
New Jersey Devils
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 1 | 25:49 | 0.04 | 60.1% | +23.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24:27 | 0.32 | 65.9% | +35.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:40 | 0.08 | 65.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:17 | 0.14 | 67.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 20:46 | 0.48 | 56.5% | +23.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 19:45 | 0.36 | 85.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18:45 | 0.07 | 65.0% | +45.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:24 | 0.26 | 56.9% | +48.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:20 | 0.12 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15:18 | 0.20 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:29 | 0.02 | 94.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:53 | 0.21 | 72.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:17 | 0.35 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:27 | 0.00 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:04 | 0.13 | 68.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:51 | 0.00 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:50 | 0.05 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:15 | 0.00 | 24.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 21 | 17 | 4 | .810 | 3.50 | −0.5 | 59:33 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25:55 | 0.12 | 28.4% | +56.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 21:25 | 0.10 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 20:11 | 0.68 | 21.7% | +57.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:14 | 0.00 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18:41 | 0.34 | 74.4% | +21.9 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 18:00 | 1.31 | 22.6% | +69.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:14 | 0.06 | 39.4% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:08 | 0.04 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:17 | 0.01 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:11 | 0.32 | 29.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:23 | 0.00 | 20.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:35 | 0.00 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:53 | 0.07 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:52 | 0.12 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:47 | 0.00 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:14 | 0.00 | 28.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:14 | 0.19 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:09 | 0.15 | 67.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.82 | −0.2 | 60:00 |