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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 4, 2025·American Airlines Center, Dallas

New Jersey Devils 3, Dallas Stars 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 62% of the time.

DAL winsNJD wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DAL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NJD's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Meier–Bratt–HischierTatar–Palat–MercerHaula–Dowling–NoesenLazar–Bastian–CotterHaula–Noesen–CotterPalat–Noesen–MercerPesce–HughesDillon–NemecKovacevic–HughesDillon–KovacevicPesce–KovacevicHamilton–HughesDillon–PescePesce–NemecKovacevic–NemecHamilton–Nemec
Duchene–Granlund–Marchment2:410.01–0.151:320.00–0.002:560.23–0.170:370.00–0.000:460.00–0.001:180.00–0.072:150.05–0.072:160.01–0.001:130.00–0.100:350.00–0.010:490.18–0.080:410.00–0.00
Benn–Dadonov–Johnston2:480.29–0.002:340.00–0.120:410.24–0.031:230.00–0.002:160.24–0.033:040.15–0.120:380.00–0.020:440.00–0.001:220.20–0.060:460.10–0.040:330.08–0.00
Steel–Bäck–Stankoven1:200.00–0.101:270.01–0.111:200.00–0.150:400.00–0.000:380.00–0.002:250.00–0.111:140.00–0.120:400.00–0.001:180.01–0.00
Hintz–Robertson–Stankoven3:070.01–0.031:280.03–0.170:470.00–0.001:080.11–0.080:590.00–0.161:530.01–0.03
Hintz–Robertson–Bourque1:340.00–0.080:540.00–0.140:300.00–0.000:490.06–0.030:510.00–0.152:310.06–0.240:490.00–0.010:470.00–0.000:460.00–0.03
Steel–Bäck–Bourque0:330.00–0.002:200.01–0.000:390.01–0.000:370.00–0.000:450.00–0.000:580.19–0.00
Ceci–Lindell8:100.22–0.163:270.04–0.193:160.00–0.083:490.00–0.122:240.01–0.021:300.01–0.221:040.20–0.060:330.10–0.001:060.00–0.000:360.00–0.030:390.00–0.00
Lyubushkin–Harley3:040.08–0.213:360.00–0.021:090.00–0.252:210.01–0.021:100.00–0.150:570.00–0.002:550.00–0.321:180.01–0.101:440.11–0.022:090.00–0.000:510.00–0.001:390.00–0.031:260.08–0.000:410.00–0.131:080.00–0.05
Dumba–Bichsel0:550.00–0.004:140.42–0.152:330.00–0.000:470.00–0.002:290.24–0.032:500.15–0.031:330.00–0.001:000.00–0.041:070.00–0.010:310.00–0.000:390.00–0.00
Lindell–Harley0:470.00–0.040:550.00–0.04
Harley–Bichsel0:350.00–0.080:340.00–0.16
Lindell–Lyubushkin0:510.01–0.07
Ceci–Harley1:020.00–0.201:030.00–0.20
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndStankoven FRobertson FHintz FJohnston FBenn FDadonov FMarchment FGranlund FDuchene FBourque FBäck FSteel FLyubushkin DHarley DLindell DCeci DBichsel DDumba DDeSmith GHischier FMeier FBratt FTatar FPalat FMercer FDowling FNoesen FHaula FBastian FLazar FCotter FKovacevic DPesce DHamilton DHughes DDillon DNemec DMarkstrom G
DALNJDFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Thomas HarleyDAL2525:551:021:5231
Luke HughesNJD3225:490:481:2954
Brett PesceNJD3124:270:471:2026
Johnathan KovacevicNJD3023:400:471:3813
Brenden DillonNJD3423:170:411:1535
Esa LindellDAL2521:250:511:3135
Nico HischierNJD3020:460:421:1375
Jason RobertsonDAL2020:111:012:0221
Dawson MercerNJD2619:450:461:1732
Cody CeciDAL2119:140:551:3122
Jesper BrattNJD2818:450:401:1862
Wyatt JohnstonDAL2118:410:532:0244
Roope HintzDAL2118:000:511:5943
Timo MeierNJD2517:240:421:0672
Simon NemecNJD2317:200:451:2941
Ilya LyubushkinDAL2317:140:451:1704
Matt DucheneDAL1917:080:541:2772
Mikael GranlundDAL1916:170:511:2842
Mason MarchmentDAL1916:110:511:5232
Logan StankovenDAL1815:230:511:3113
Stefan NoesenNJD2215:180:421:1732
Mathew DumbaDAL1714:350:511:2532
Sam SteelDAL1713:530:491:2113
Jamie BennDAL1913:520:441:2012
Lian BichselDAL1713:470:491:2132
Ondrej PalatNJD2213:290:371:0610
Mavrik BourqueDAL1713:140:471:1312
Tomas TatarNJD2112:530:371:0110
Erik HaulaNJD2112:170:350:5922
Oskar BäckDAL1612:140:461:2113
Evgenii DadonovDAL1512:090:491:1312
Paul CotterNJD1711:270:401:0722
Nathan BastianNJD1710:040:360:5524
Curtis LazarNJD169:510:371:0524
Justin DowlingNJD179:500:350:5732
Dougie HamiltonNJD75:150:450:5902