Wed, Mar 12, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Buffalo Sabres 3, Detroit Red Wings 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 85% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:43Shot by Seider, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 1:56Shot by Compher, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 2:06Shot by McLeod, saved by Mrazek
- P1 2:57Shot by Chiarot, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 5:06Shot by Tuch, saved by Mrazek
- P1 5:09Shot by Zucker, saved by Mrazek
- P1 6:55Shot by Dahlin, saved by Mrazek
- P1 7:02Shot by Soderblom, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 7:38Goal by Thompson (Byram)+16 pts WP
On ice: DET Smith, Holl, Tarasenko, Gustafsson, Larkin · BUF Thompson, Krebs, Byram, Power, Benson
- P1 12:20Shot by Kasper, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 12:36Goal by Kasper (Edvinsson, Kane)+17 pts WP
On ice: DET Kane, Gustafsson, DeBrincat, Edvinsson, Kasper · BUF Clifton, Greenway, Norris, Quinn, Power
- P1 12:50Shot by Dahlin, saved by Mrazek
- P1 14:02Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 15:40Goal by DeBrincat (Kane, Kasper)+14 pts WP
On ice: DET Kane, Chiarot, DeBrincat, Seider, Kasper · BUF Greenway, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Quinn, Kulich
- P1 16:10Shot by Soderblom, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 18:11Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Mrazek
- P1 18:23Kulich: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: DET Holl, Gustafsson, Larkin, Soderblom, Raymond · BUF Greenway, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Quinn, Kulich
- P1 18:30Shot by Tuch, saved by Mrazek5v4
- P1 19:07Goal by Kane (DeBrincat, Larkin)5v4+11 pts WP
On ice: DET Kane, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · BUF Clifton, Tuch, McLeod, Samuelsson
- P1 19:25Goal by Norris (Benson, Thompson)+12 pts WP
On ice: DET Chiarot, Motte, Shine, Rasmussen, Edvinsson · BUF Thompson, Norris, Bryson, Byram, Kulich, Benson
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 1:32Shot by Kane, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 2:14Shot by Motte, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 2:44Shot by Shine, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 3:31Luukkonen: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: DET Holl, Larkin, Johansson, Soderblom, Raymond · BUF Clifton, Thompson, Norris, Power, Benson
- P2 4:12Shot by Raymond, saved by Luukkonen5v4
- P2 6:37Shot by Quinn, saved by Mrazek
- P2 6:53Shot by Dahlin, saved by Mrazek
- P2 7:13Shot by Bryson, saved by Mrazek
- P2 7:47Shot by Byram, saved by Mrazek
- P2 10:12Shot by Seider, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 10:54Goal by Tarasenko (Larkin)+15 pts WP
On ice: DET Smith, Tarasenko, Larkin, Johansson, Edvinsson · BUF Zucker, Clifton, Tuch, McLeod, Power
- P2 10:54Quinn: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)
On ice: DET Smith, Tarasenko, Larkin, Johansson, Edvinsson · BUF Zucker, Clifton, Tuch, McLeod, Power
- P2 12:26Shot by Compher, saved by Luukkonen5v4
- P2 14:22Shot by Dahlin, saved by Mrazek
- P2 15:41Shot by Greenway, saved by Mrazek
- P2 15:45DeBrincat: High sticking double minor (4 min)
On ice: DET Kane, Holl, Gustafsson, DeBrincat, Kasper · BUF Greenway, Dahlin, Krebs, Quinn, Power
- P2 16:02Shot by Dahlin, saved by Mrazek4v5
- P2 16:04Shot by Motte, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P2 16:50Shot by Thompson, saved by Mrazek4v5
- P2 17:00Shot by Holl, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P2 18:12Goal by Benson (Power, McLeod)4v5+14 pts WP
On ice: DET Motte, Rasmussen, Seider, Edvinsson · BUF Tuch, McLeod, Power, Kulich, Benson
- P2 19:11Zucker: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)
On ice: DET Holl, Gustafsson, Larkin, Soderblom, Raymond · BUF Zucker, Tuch, McLeod, Dahlin, Power
- P2 19:19Shot by Seider, saved by Luukkonen5v4
- P2 19:53Greenway: Tripping (2 min)5v4
On ice: DET Kane, Tarasenko, Larkin, Seider, Raymond · BUF Clifton, Greenway, McLeod, Samuelsson
- P2 0:00Period end5v3
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:17Shot by Larkin, saved by Luukkonen5v3
- P3 0:58Shot by Kane, saved by Luukkonen5v3
- P3 1:22Shot by Kane, saved by Luukkonen5v4
- P3 1:36Goal by Kane (DeBrincat, Raymond)5v4+14 pts WP
On ice: DET Kane, Gustafsson, Larkin, DeBrincat, Raymond · BUF Zucker, Norris, Byram, Power
- P3 2:02Shot by Compher, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 2:11Shot by Byram, saved by Mrazek
- P3 2:45Shot by Bryson, saved by Mrazek
- P3 4:25Shot by Motte, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 4:54Shot by McLeod, saved by Mrazek
- P3 5:39Goal by Kasper (DeBrincat, Kane)+4 pts WP
On ice: DET Kane, Holl, Gustafsson, DeBrincat, Kasper · BUF Zucker, Clifton, Malenstyn, Norris, Samuelsson
- P3 6:20Shot by Thompson, saved by Mrazek
- P3 6:24Shot by Benson, saved by Mrazek
- P3 6:26Johansson: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: DET Larkin, Johansson, Soderblom, Raymond, Edvinsson · BUF Thompson, Norris, Dahlin, Power, Benson
- P3 6:26Benson: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: DET Larkin, Johansson, Soderblom, Raymond, Edvinsson · BUF Thompson, Norris, Dahlin, Power, Benson
- P3 8:59Shot by Kulich, saved by Mrazek
- P3 11:29Shot by Shine, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 11:54Rasmussen: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: DET Motte, Shine, Rasmussen, Johansson, Edvinsson · BUF Zucker, Clifton, Tuch, McLeod, Byram
- P3 11:54Tuch: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: DET Motte, Shine, Rasmussen, Johansson, Edvinsson · BUF Zucker, Clifton, Tuch, McLeod, Byram
- P3 12:28Compher: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: DET Smith, Holl, Tarasenko, Gustafsson, Compher · BUF Clifton, Greenway, Malenstyn, Samuelsson, Krebs
- P3 12:28Greenway: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: DET Smith, Holl, Tarasenko, Gustafsson, Compher · BUF Clifton, Greenway, Malenstyn, Samuelsson, Krebs
- P3 12:28Greenway: Misconduct (10 min)
On ice: DET Smith, Holl, Tarasenko, Gustafsson, Compher · BUF Clifton, Greenway, Malenstyn, Samuelsson, Krebs
- P3 12:28Compher: Misconduct (10 min)
On ice: DET Smith, Holl, Tarasenko, Gustafsson, Compher · BUF Clifton, Greenway, Malenstyn, Samuelsson, Krebs
- P3 13:45McLeod: Tripping (2 min)4v4
On ice: DET Chiarot, Tarasenko, DeBrincat, Seider · BUF Thompson, McLeod, Samuelsson, Power
- P3 14:31Goal by Seider (Larkin, Raymond)5v40 pts WP
On ice: DET Kane, Larkin, Seider, Soderblom, Raymond · BUF Clifton, Malenstyn, Samuelsson, Quinn
- P3 16:51Edvinsson: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: DET Kane, Shine, Johansson, Edvinsson, Kasper · BUF Thompson, Norris, Samuelsson, Byram, Benson
- P3 16:51Samuelsson: Misconduct (10 min)
On ice: DET Kane, Shine, Johansson, Edvinsson, Kasper · BUF Thompson, Norris, Samuelsson, Byram, Benson
- P3 16:51Byram: Misconduct (10 min)
On ice: DET Kane, Shine, Johansson, Edvinsson, Kasper · BUF Thompson, Norris, Samuelsson, Byram, Benson
- P3 16:51Thompson: Misconduct (10 min)
On ice: DET Kane, Shine, Johansson, Edvinsson, Kasper · BUF Thompson, Norris, Samuelsson, Byram, Benson
- P3 16:51Norris: Misconduct (10 min)
On ice: DET Kane, Shine, Johansson, Edvinsson, Kasper · BUF Thompson, Norris, Samuelsson, Byram, Benson
- P3 16:51Benson: Misconduct (10 min)
On ice: DET Kane, Shine, Johansson, Edvinsson, Kasper · BUF Thompson, Norris, Samuelsson, Byram, Benson
- P3 16:51Kasper: Misconduct (10 min)
On ice: DET Kane, Shine, Johansson, Edvinsson, Kasper · BUF Thompson, Norris, Samuelsson, Byram, Benson
- P3 16:51Edvinsson: Misconduct (10 min)
On ice: DET Kane, Shine, Johansson, Edvinsson, Kasper · BUF Thompson, Norris, Samuelsson, Byram, Benson
- P3 16:51Shine: Misconduct (10 min)
On ice: DET Kane, Shine, Johansson, Edvinsson, Kasper · BUF Thompson, Norris, Samuelsson, Byram, Benson
- P3 16:51Johansson: Misconduct (10 min)
On ice: DET Kane, Shine, Johansson, Edvinsson, Kasper · BUF Thompson, Norris, Samuelsson, Byram, Benson
- P3 18:32Shot by Kulich, saved by Mrazek4v5
- P3 19:21Seider: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: DET Kane, Chiarot, Seider, Soderblom, Kasper · BUF Clifton, Lafferty, Malenstyn, Krebs, Power
- P3 19:21Malenstyn: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: DET Kane, Chiarot, Seider, Soderblom, Kasper · BUF Clifton, Lafferty, Malenstyn, Krebs, Power
- P3 19:31Shot by Clifton, saved by Mrazek4v4
- P3 0:00Period end4v4
- P3 0:00Final4v4