Wed, Mar 12, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Buffalo Sabres 3, Detroit Red Wings 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 85% of the time.
80%
10%
DET winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus DahlinD · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 22:47 | 0.19 | 53.4% | 0.0 |
 Bowen ByramD · #4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 20:39 | 0.26 | 30.5% | +15.5 |
 Owen PowerD · #25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 19:57 | 0.05 | 43.2% | +13.7 |
 Ryan McLeodC · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:41 | 0.17 | 55.5% | +13.7 |
 Connor CliftonD · #75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 18:41 | 0.04 | 30.1% | 0.0 |
 Josh NorrisC · #13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:25 | 0.24 | 20.3% | +12.3 |
 Mattias SamuelssonD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:07 | 0.05 | 40.3% | 0.0 |
 Tage ThompsonC · #72 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 17:06 | 0.27 | 32.3% | +27.8 |
 Zach BensonLW · #9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 16:23 | 0.21 | 34.9% | +26.0 |
 Alex TuchRW · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:20 | 0.13 | 53.6% | 0.0 |
 Jacob BrysonD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:16 | 0.09 | 11.4% | 0.0 |
 Jason ZuckerLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:59 | 0.08 | 40.4% | 0.0 |
 Peyton KrebsC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:40 | 0.00 | 48.2% | 0.0 |
 Jordan GreenwayLW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:20 | 0.12 | 30.9% | 0.0 |
 Jiri KulichC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:31 | 0.08 | 16.1% | 0.0 |
 Jack QuinnRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 10:53 | 0.07 | 38.0% | 0.0 |
 Beck MalenstynLW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:32 | 0.00 | 6.6% | 0.0 |
 Sam LaffertyC · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:51 | 0.00 | 5.8% | 0.0 |
 Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen#1 | L | 29 | 22 | 7 | .759 | 4.52 | −2.5 | 60:00 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Moritz SeiderD · #53 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 24:30 | 0.26 | 57.1% | +0.2 |
 Dylan LarkinC · #71 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20:53 | 0.33 | 66.0% | +26.2 |
 Lucas RaymondLW · #23 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20:31 | 0.49 | 67.0% | +14.4 |
 Ben ChiarotD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:29 | 0.03 | 55.0% | 0.0 |
 Erik GustafssonD · #56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:01 | 0.00 | 61.3% | 0.0 |
 Simon EdvinssonD · #77 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:45 | 0.05 | 74.4% | +17.1 |
 Patrick KaneRW · #88 | 2 | 3 | 5 | +3 | 5 | 17:21 | 0.77 | 69.9% | +60.4 |
 Albert JohanssonD · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:58 | 0.00 | 88.6% | 0.0 |
 Marco KasperC · #92 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 15:25 | 0.54 | 68.7% | +35.0 |
 Vladimir TarasenkoRW · #11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:14 | 0.33 | 41.7% | +14.8 |
 Alex DeBrincatRW · #93 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 1 | 15:13 | 0.45 | 71.1% | +43.3 |
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:39 | 0.06 | 58.0% | 0.0 |
 J.T. CompherLW · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:58 | 0.26 | 42.3% | 0.0 |
 Elmer SoderblomLW · #85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:29 | 0.36 | 67.4% | 0.0 |
 Tyler MotteC · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:22 | 0.05 | 94.0% | 0.0 |
 Craig SmithC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:06 | 0.01 | 41.0% | 0.0 |
 Michael RasmussenC · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:24 | 0.34 | 93.8% | 0.0 |
 Dominik ShineRW · #50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:36 | 0.19 | 93.9% | 0.0 |
 Petr Mrazek#43 | W | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 2.06 | −0.9 | 60:00 |