BUF 3 @ DET 7 · Mar 12, 2025

Wed, Mar 12, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Away

Buffalo Sabres

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

Three stars

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 85% of the time.

80%

10%

DET winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

	Thompson–Norris–Benson	Zucker–Tuch–McLeod	Lafferty–Malenstyn–Krebs	Greenway–Quinn–Kulich	Greenway–Krebs–Quinn	Thompson–McLeod–Benson	Zucker–Malenstyn–Krebs	Tuch–McLeod–Kulich	Bryson–Byram	Clifton–Power	Samuelsson–Dahlin	Dahlin–Power	Clifton–Samuelsson	Byram–Power	Bryson–Dahlin
Larkin–Soderblom–Raymond	7:290.35–0.15			0:490.00–0.05	0:460.06–0.00				2:510.29–0.01	2:110.12–0.00	2:530.00–0.06	1:100.00–0.08		0:500.00–0.04	0:460.10–0.04
Kane–DeBrincat–Kasper	0:570.00–0.00	0:320.00–0.00	0:350.00–0.00	2:190.34–0.03	1:550.05–0.24				1:260.05–0.00	1:450.38–0.00	1:530.08–0.03	2:060.19–0.20
Smith–Tarasenko–Compher	0:390.04–0.00	4:100.10–0.36	0:350.10–0.00					0:390.05–0.00	1:560.10–0.00	1:320.00–0.10	1:060.00–0.00	0:510.11–0.00	1:430.05–0.12
Motte–Shine–Rasmussen		1:470.17–0.03	2:100.05–0.00						2:460.37–0.00		1:010.00–0.00	0:510.00–0.00
Chiarot–Seider	2:560.00–0.00	2:320.09–0.23	1:030.01–0.01	1:270.11–0.00	0:460.06–0.00	0:370.00–0.00			3:350.29–0.00	3:000.03–0.01	2:570.08–0.00	0:560.01–0.02	0:550.05–0.12	0:550.09–0.23	0:410.00–0.04
Johansson–Edvinsson	5:070.40–0.11	3:080.15–0.00	1:250.05–0.00	0:540.23–0.00		0:390.01–0.00	0:350.00–0.00		3:430.38–0.01	3:250.40–0.00	1:250.00–0.00	1:440.01–0.08
Holl–Gustafsson	1:100.00–0.01	1:400.16–0.06	2:110.10–0.00	0:570.00–0.05	1:550.05–0.24				2:050.20–0.00	1:250.00–0.00	2:370.00–0.06	2:520.28–0.20	1:180.18–0.00
Gustafsson–Edvinsson										0:340.12–0.10

Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

DETBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals


Moritz SeiderDET	30	24:30	0:49	1:59	7	3
Rasmus DahlinBUF	24	22:47	0:57	2:12	3	2
Dylan LarkinDET	21	20:53	1:00	2:21	2	3
Bowen ByramBUF	25	20:39	0:50	2:24	5	2
Lucas RaymondDET	22	20:31	0:56	1:37	3	3
Owen PowerBUF	29	19:57	0:41	1:34	3	3
Ryan McLeodBUF	23	19:41	0:51	2:20	7	4
Ben ChiarotDET	26	19:29	0:45	1:59	5	3
Erik GustafssonDET	27	19:01	0:42	1:48	1	2
Simon EdvinssonDET	26	18:45	0:43	1:39	1	4
Connor CliftonBUF	20	18:41	0:56	1:38	0	4
Josh NorrisBUF	24	17:25	0:44	1:47	2	3
Patrick KaneDET	23	17:21	0:45	1:36	6	1
Mattias SamuelssonBUF	20	17:07	0:51	1:35	2	3
Tage ThompsonBUF	25	17:06	0:41	1:22	2	3
Zach BensonBUF	22	16:23	0:45	1:19	2	2
Alex TuchBUF	23	16:20	0:43	1:39	4	3
Jacob BrysonBUF	22	16:16	0:44	2:15	3	1
Albert JohanssonDET	26	15:58	0:37	1:04	1	4
Marco KasperDET	21	15:25	0:44	1:33	2	1
Vladimir TarasenkoDET	24	15:14	0:38	1:24	3	4
Alex DeBrincatDET	21	15:13	0:43	1:36	4	1
Jason ZuckerBUF	20	14:59	0:45	1:38	5	1
Peyton KrebsBUF	19	14:40	0:46	1:40	1	1
Justin HollDET	25	14:39	0:35	1:20	1	3
Jordan GreenwayBUF	19	14:20	0:45	1:19	2	3
J.T. CompherDET	19	13:58	0:44	1:33	2	4
Elmer SoderblomDET	20	13:29	0:40	1:23	3	2
Tyler MotteDET	21	13:22	0:38	1:08	1	2
Craig SmithDET	22	13:06	0:36	0:58	2	3
Jiri KulichBUF	16	11:49	0:44	2:09	4	0
Jack QuinnBUF	14	10:53	0:47	1:55	2	1
Michael RasmussenDET	18	10:24	0:35	1:16	2	2
Dominik ShineDET	16	9:36	0:36	0:58	1	2
Beck MalenstynBUF	16	9:32	0:36	1:01	2	1
Sam LaffertyBUF	13	7:51	0:36	1:00	3	0

Buffalo Sabres 3, Detroit Red Wings 7

Who was on the ice

Shift totals