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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 20, 2025·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Dallas Stars 2 (SO)

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

3

Final

Shootout

Home

Dallas Stars

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 83% of the time.

DAL winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:00Shot by Robertson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 1:06Shot by Hagel, saved by DeSmith
  4. P1 1:51Shot by Benn, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 2:55Shot by Paul, saved by DeSmith
  6. P1 2:56Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by DeSmith
  7. P1 2:56Shot by Goncalves, saved by DeSmith
  8. P1 3:26Shot by Granlund, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 4:35Goal by Hagel (Cirelli, Kucherov)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Rantanen, Hintz, Robertson, Lyubushkin, Harley · TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Cirelli, Hagel, Perbix

  10. P1 5:08Shot by Guentzel, saved by DeSmith
  11. P1 6:42Shot by Duchene, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 8:54Shot by Lyubushkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 8:56Shot by Steel, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P1 9:50Shot by Raddysh, saved by DeSmith
  15. P1 9:52Shot by Point, saved by DeSmith
  16. P1 10:06Shot by Dumba, saved by Vasilevskiy
  17. P1 10:21Shot by Paul, saved by DeSmith
  18. P1 12:11Shot by Guentzel, saved by DeSmith
  19. P1 13:13Shot by Girgensons, saved by DeSmith
  20. P1 14:10Shot by Steel, saved by Vasilevskiy
  21. P1 15:14Shot by Cirelli, saved by DeSmith
  22. P1 16:59Shot by Cernak, saved by DeSmith
  23. P1 17:47Bichsel: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Duchene, Granlund, Dumba, Marchment, Bichsel · TBL Glendening, Girgensons, Guentzel, Raddysh, Lilleberg

  24. P1 17:47Girgensons: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Duchene, Granlund, Dumba, Marchment, Bichsel · TBL Glendening, Girgensons, Guentzel, Raddysh, Lilleberg

  25. P1 19:51Shot by Hedman, saved by DeSmith
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 1:23Shot by Hagel, saved by DeSmith
  29. P2 2:31Shot by Perbix, saved by DeSmith
  30. P2 3:10Shot by Kucherov, saved by DeSmith
  31. P2 3:13Ceci: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Ceci, Lindell, Rantanen, Hintz, Robertson · TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel

  32. P2 3:22Shot by Guentzel, saved by DeSmith4v5
  33. P2 3:29Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by DeSmith4v5
  34. P2 4:02Shot by Johnston, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  35. P2 7:01Shot by Hintz, saved by Vasilevskiy
  36. P2 7:19Shot by Hagel, saved by DeSmith
  37. P2 7:21Goal by Cirelli (Hagel, Gourde)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Lindell, Rantanen, Hintz, Robertson, Lyubushkin · TBL McDonagh, Gourde, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel

  38. P2 7:58Goal by Bäck (Blackwell, Steel)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Blackwell, Ceci, Steel, Bäck, Harley · TBL Kucherov, Cirelli, Hagel, Perbix, Lilleberg

  39. P2 8:51Shot by Johnston, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 9:56Shot by Duchene, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 11:49Hedman: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Blackwell, Dumba, Steel, Bäck, Bichsel · TBL Hedman, Bjorkstrand, Paul, Raddysh, Goncalves

  42. P2 11:49Blackwell: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Blackwell, Dumba, Steel, Bäck, Bichsel · TBL Hedman, Bjorkstrand, Paul, Raddysh, Goncalves

  43. P2 11:49Bjorkstrand: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Blackwell, Dumba, Steel, Bäck, Bichsel · TBL Hedman, Bjorkstrand, Paul, Raddysh, Goncalves

  44. P2 13:06Shot by Harley, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  45. P2 13:43Shot by Duchene, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  46. P2 13:48Goal by Marchment (Benn, Duchene)5v4+25 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Benn, Duchene, Granlund, Dumba, Marchment · TBL Cirelli, Hagel, Moser, Lilleberg

  47. P2 14:26Guentzel: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Ceci, Lindell, Steel, Robertson, Bourque · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Perbix

  48. P2 16:10Shot by Hagel, saved by DeSmith5v4
  49. P2 16:47Shot by Guentzel, saved by DeSmith
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 1:23Shot by Cirelli, saved by DeSmith
  53. P3 1:43Shot by Guentzel, saved by DeSmith
  54. P3 2:03Shot by Point, saved by DeSmith
  55. P3 2:24Shot by Bäck, saved by Vasilevskiy
  56. P3 3:37Shot by Rantanen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  57. P3 5:15Shot by Paul, saved by DeSmith
  58. P3 5:16Shot by Paul, saved by DeSmith
  59. P3 5:22Shot by Hedman, saved by DeSmith
  60. P3 5:26Shot by Hedman, saved by DeSmith
  61. P3 5:34Shot by Raddysh, saved by DeSmith
  62. P3 6:31Shot by Dumba, saved by Vasilevskiy
  63. P3 7:03Shot by Marchment, saved by Vasilevskiy
  64. P3 8:40Shot by Bourque, saved by Vasilevskiy
  65. P3 9:20Shot by Perbix, saved by DeSmith
  66. P3 11:46Shot by Hedman, saved by DeSmith
  67. P3 12:08Shot by Guentzel, saved by DeSmith
  68. P3 12:16Shot by Gourde, saved by DeSmith
  69. P3 14:13Shot by Bourque, saved by Vasilevskiy
  70. P3 16:41Shot by Marchment, saved by Vasilevskiy
  71. P3 19:37Shot by Johnston, saved by Vasilevskiy
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. OT 0:00Period start
  74. OT 0:57Shot by Kucherov, saved by DeSmith3v3
  75. OT 3:19Shot by Cirelli, saved by DeSmith3v3
  76. OT 3:47Shot by Hedman, saved by DeSmith3v3
  77. OT 5:00Period end3v3
  78. SO Period start
  79. SO Goal by Robertson, unassistedother
  80. SO Goal by Guentzel, unassistedother
  81. SO Goal by Duchene, unassistedother
  82. SO Shot by Point, saved by DeSmithother
  83. SO Shot by Johnston, saved by Vasilevskiyother
  84. SO Goal by Kucherov, unassistedother
  85. SO Shot by Rantanen, saved by Vasilevskiyother
  86. SO Goal by Goncalves, unassistedother
  87. SO Period endother
  88. SO Finalother