Thu, Mar 20, 2025·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Dallas Stars 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 83% of the time.
11%
79%
DAL winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
DAL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Gourde–Guentzel–Point | Bjorkstrand–Paul–Goncalves | Kucherov–Cirelli–Hagel | Kucherov–Guentzel–Point | Glendening–Girgensons–Goncalves | Kucherov–Point–Hagel | Kucherov–Glendening–Girgensons | Glendening–Girgensons–Hagel | Gourde–Bjorkstrand–Paul | McDonagh–Cernak | Hedman–Moser | Perbix–Lilleberg | Hedman–Raddysh | Raddysh–Moser | Raddysh–Lilleberg | Hedman–Perbix | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duchene–Granlund–Marchment | 3:410.08–0.21 | 2:590.21–0.75 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 2:460.05–0.00 | 1:440.00–0.02 | 2:450.02–0.21 | 1:310.00–0.00 | 0:410.21–0.72 | |||||||
| Rantanen–Hintz–Robertson | 1:470.27–0.01 | 2:360.00–0.36 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 5:160.17–0.48 | 2:020.27–0.16 | ||||||||||
| Benn–Bourque–Johnston | 1:540.00–0.04 | 1:180.04–0.02 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:400.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.04 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:510.04–0.02 | ||||||
| Steel–Robertson–Johnston | 2:000.01–0.22 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 1:450.00–0.02 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:310.01–0.00 | 1:410.00–0.20 | 0:450.00–0.02 | 0:390.00–0.02 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Blackwell–Steel–Bäck | 1:280.10–0.11 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.11 | 1:530.10–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Benn–Rantanen–Hintz | 1:430.00–0.01 | 1:250.09–0.13 | 1:120.00–0.01 | 1:580.00–0.13 | ||||||||||||
| Blackwell–Bäck–Bourque | 0:480.06–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:430.02–0.01 | 0:550.06–0.00 | 0:500.02–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:350.04–0.03 | |||||||||
| Duchene–Rantanen–Marchment | 0:420.00–0.05 | 1:020.00–0.05 | ||||||||||||||
| Rantanen–Steel–Robertson | 0:340.15–0.00 | 0:320.15–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Lyubushkin–Harley | 3:170.01–0.10 | 3:300.21–0.06 | 4:420.27–0.21 | 1:080.00–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.05 | 0:380.00–0.03 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 5:550.01–0.09 | 4:470.02–0.16 | 3:030.15–0.10 | 1:200.00–0.05 | 1:120.21–0.00 | ||||
| Ceci–Lindell | 4:040.06–0.37 | 2:220.27–0.35 | 4:250.00–0.41 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.03 | 3:460.23–0.05 | 5:250.27–0.59 | 1:330.00–0.13 | 2:110.00–0.35 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.04 | |||||
| Dumba–Bichsel | 1:420.06–0.09 | 4:200.04–0.75 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:140.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 2:410.00–0.01 | 1:560.04–0.05 | 1:580.02–0.04 | 2:260.04–0.05 | 1:180.00–0.72 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:300.04–0.02 | ||||
| Ceci–Harley | 1:080.00–0.00 | 0:490.10–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:000.10–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Lindell–Harley | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
DALTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Thomas HarleyDAL | 29 | 31:11 | 1:05 | 2:23 | 2 | 1 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 28 | 26:08 | 0:56 | 1:34 | 6 | 2 |
 Esa LindellDAL | 24 | 22:44 | 0:57 | 2:32 | 0 | 9 |
 J.J. MoserTBL | 26 | 22:39 | 0:52 | 1:26 | 3 | 1 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 24 | 21:11 | 0:53 | 1:27 | 6 | 1 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 29 | 21:09 | 0:44 | 1:56 | 6 | 2 |
 Mikko RantanenDAL | 23 | 21:06 | 0:55 | 1:38 | 5 | 4 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 27 | 21:00 | 0:47 | 1:25 | 1 | 6 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 24 | 20:44 | 0:52 | 1:24 | 7 | 3 |
 Ilya LyubushkinDAL | 22 | 20:19 | 0:55 | 2:23 | 0 | 2 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 23 | 19:32 | 0:51 | 1:25 | 5 | 4 |
 Cody CeciDAL | 24 | 19:30 | 0:49 | 1:50 | 0 | 7 |
 Jason RobertsonDAL | 21 | 19:29 | 0:56 | 2:24 | 4 | 3 |
 Matt DucheneDAL | 21 | 19:24 | 0:55 | 2:24 | 1 | 1 |
 Mikael GranlundDAL | 22 | 19:18 | 0:53 | 1:42 | 1 | 1 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 26 | 19:14 | 0:44 | 1:46 | 5 | 2 |
 Wyatt JohnstonDAL | 23 | 18:50 | 0:49 | 1:50 | 3 | 7 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 27 | 18:48 | 0:42 | 1:21 | 1 | 6 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 22 | 18:38 | 0:51 | 1:25 | 4 | 2 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 24 | 17:24 | 0:44 | 1:13 | 5 | 3 |
 Mason MarchmentDAL | 20 | 17:17 | 0:52 | 2:24 | 1 | 2 |
 Roope HintzDAL | 23 | 16:21 | 0:43 | 1:27 | 7 | 5 |
 Gage GoncalvesTBL | 20 | 15:39 | 0:47 | 1:42 | 5 | 2 |
 Mathew DumbaDAL | 17 | 14:23 | 0:51 | 1:33 | 2 | 4 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandTBL | 19 | 14:16 | 0:45 | 1:12 | 5 | 1 |
 Jamie BennDAL | 19 | 13:44 | 0:43 | 1:10 | 2 | 7 |
 Sam SteelDAL | 17 | 13:28 | 0:48 | 1:25 | 1 | 3 |
 Lian BichselDAL | 18 | 13:23 | 0:45 | 1:31 | 2 | 3 |
 Nick PerbixTBL | 18 | 12:07 | 0:40 | 1:11 | 2 | 0 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 14 | 11:38 | 0:50 | 1:28 | 5 | 0 |
 Mavrik BourqueDAL | 17 | 11:30 | 0:41 | 1:08 | 0 | 5 |
 Emil LillebergTBL | 17 | 10:54 | 0:38 | 1:11 | 2 | 0 |
 Oskar BäckDAL | 15 | 10:07 | 0:40 | 1:02 | 0 | 0 |
 Luke GlendeningTBL | 15 | 9:16 | 0:37 | 1:06 | 2 | 2 |
 Colin BlackwellDAL | 15 | 8:56 | 0:36 | 0:58 | 0 | 2 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 14 | 8:46 | 0:38 | 1:17 | 2 | 1 |