Thu, Mar 20, 2025·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Dallas Stars 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 83% of the time.
11%
79%
DAL winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26:08 | 0.18 | 70.0% | 0.0 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:39 | 0.02 | 67.6% | 0.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:11 | 0.15 | 66.4% | +14.6 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 21:09 | 0.71 | 75.0% | +30.6 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 21:00 | 0.06 | 67.4% | 0.0 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:43 | 0.21 | 81.6% | 0.0 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19:32 | 0.73 | 66.8% | 0.0 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 19:14 | 0.76 | 74.9% | +30.6 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:48 | 0.01 | 57.7% | 0.0 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:37 | 0.03 | 67.4% | +16.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:24 | 0.66 | 57.5% | 0.0 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:39 | 0.28 | 67.6% | 0.0 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:16 | 0.29 | 62.5% | 0.0 |
 Nick PerbixD · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:07 | 0.06 | 57.3% | 0.0 |
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:38 | 0.03 | 80.0% | 0.0 |
 Emil LillebergD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:54 | 0.00 | 49.6% | 0.0 |
 Luke GlendeningC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:16 | 0.00 | 39.4% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:46 | 0.05 | 53.6% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | W | 24 | 22 | 2 | .917 | 1.98 | 0.0 | 65:00 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Thomas HarleyD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 31:11 | 0.03 | 51.4% | 0.0 |
 Esa LindellD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:44 | 0.00 | 30.3% | 0.0 |
 Mikko RantanenRW · #96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:06 | 0.35 | 41.9% | 0.0 |
 Ilya LyubushkinD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:19 | 0.03 | 37.1% | 0.0 |
 Cody CeciD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:30 | 0.00 | 40.8% | 0.0 |
 Jason RobertsonLW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:29 | 0.00 | 40.8% | 0.0 |
 Matt DucheneC · #95 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:24 | 0.26 | 30.2% | +25.5 |
 Mikael GranlundC · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:18 | 0.23 | 18.2% | 0.0 |
 Wyatt JohnstonC · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:50 | 0.14 | 15.3% | 0.0 |
 Mason MarchmentLW · #27 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:17 | 0.30 | 23.0% | +25.5 |
 Roope HintzC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:21 | 0.17 | 35.3% | 0.0 |
 Mathew DumbaD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:23 | 0.04 | 16.6% | 0.0 |
 Jamie BennLW · #14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:44 | 0.04 | 46.5% | +25.5 |
 Sam SteelC · #18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:28 | 0.17 | 44.5% | +15.7 |
 Lian BichselD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:23 | 0.00 | 15.2% | 0.0 |
 Mavrik BourqueC · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:30 | 0.08 | 27.2% | 0.0 |
 Oskar BäckC · #10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:07 | 0.14 | 25.7% | +15.7 |
 Colin BlackwellC · #15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 8:56 | 0.00 | 48.9% | +15.7 |
 Casey DeSmith#1 | O | 38 | 36 | 2 | .947 | 4.24 | +2.2 | 65:00 |