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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 22, 2025·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Nashville Predators 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 91% of the time.

NSH winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Tavares–Nylander–McMannMarner–Matthews–KniesDomi–Holmberg–RobertsonLaughton–Lorentz–KampfDomi–Robertson–McMannTanev–McCabeRielly–CarloEkman-Larsson–BenoitEkman-Larsson–RiellyCarlo–BenoitRielly–McCabe
O'Reilly–Forsberg–Evangelista8:210.58–0.181:100.04–0.000:340.00–0.034:000.43–0.072:540.10–0.152:070.06–0.002:040.03–0.00
Sissons–McCarron–L'Heureux5:390.24–0.070:410.00–0.001:560.05–0.001:010.04–0.012:530.04–0.051:360.07–0.022:010.03–0.002:290.16–0.000:300.00–0.00
Stamkos–Marchessault–Bunting2:580.04–0.122:540.14–0.082:070.00–0.001:440.00–0.003:380.16–0.192:520.02–0.080:390.00–0.00
Bellows–Smith–Svechkov0:420.04–0.042:010.01–0.043:360.12–0.113:180.16–0.091:020.00–0.001:410.00–0.100:370.00–0.00
Skjei–Blankenburg2:140.14–0.057:120.49–0.131:310.16–0.001:130.00–0.014:060.43–0.073:390.13–0.122:480.06–0.002:420.17–0.000:310.00–0.00
Del Gaizo–Barron4:190.07–0.101:450.00–0.121:090.00–0.032:070.04–0.223:480.04–0.272:480.23–0.173:170.01–0.141:200.02–0.00
Englund–Stastney0:330.07–0.004:580.08–0.003:150.12–0.063:120.12–0.001:320.07–0.002:200.05–0.061:480.01–0.000:370.00–0.00
Stastney–Barron2:090.00–0.020:560.00–0.000:450.00–0.00
Skjei–Barron0:400.00–0.040:380.00–0.00
Englund–Del Gaizo0:530.00–0.090:340.00–0.05
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndForsberg FEvangelista FO'Reilly FBunting FMarchessault FStamkos FL'Heureux FMcCarron FSissons FBellows FSmith FSvechkov FBlankenburg DSkjei DBarron DDel Gaizo DStastney DEnglund DSaros GMarner FKnies FMatthews FMcMann FNylander FTavares FDomi FRobertson FHolmberg FKampf FLaughton FLorentz FTanev DMcCabe DRielly DCarlo DBenoit DEkman-Larsson DWoll G
NSHTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Morgan RiellyTOR2924:280:511:5572
Nick BlankenburgNSH2623:150:542:0142
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR3122:230:431:4662
Brady SkjeiNSH2522:100:532:2222
Justin BarronNSH2722:060:492:0863
Ryan O'ReillyNSH2320:220:532:2542
Auston MatthewsTOR2120:000:573:4142
Mitch MarnerTOR2319:490:521:3541
Matthew KniesTOR2219:210:532:0441
Jake McCabeTOR3119:170:371:2706
Filip ForsbergNSH2319:000:502:2451
William NylanderTOR1918:110:573:2230
Marc Del GaizoNSH2418:060:452:0551
John TavaresTOR2117:360:501:3441
Spencer StastneyNSH2117:130:491:3943
Chris TanevTOR3117:110:331:0307
Michael McCarronNSH2416:230:411:2215
Jonathan MarchessaultNSH1615:591:002:2541
Steven StamkosNSH1615:470:592:2541
Bobby McMannTOR1815:270:521:4011
Brandon CarloTOR2315:210:401:2025
Luke EvangelistaNSH2115:120:431:4221
Zachary L'HeureuxNSH2015:030:451:3211
Simon BenoitTOR2514:500:361:2012
Colton SissonsNSH2114:480:422:2212
Max DomiTOR1814:370:491:3721
Nick RobertsonTOR1714:230:511:3621
Cole SmithNSH1713:460:491:1743
Michael BuntingNSH1813:100:441:2641
Andreas EnglundNSH2012:330:381:1022
David KampfTOR1912:240:391:2108
Pontus HolmbergTOR1611:270:431:4731
Fedor SvechkovNSH1611:230:432:0242
Steven LorentzTOR1910:540:340:5407
Scott LaughtonTOR189:520:330:5004
Kieffer BellowsNSH159:330:381:1140