Tue, Mar 25, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 2, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 79% of the time.
13%
72%
BUF winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Tim StützleC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:10 | 0.20 | 75.2% | 0.0 |
 Thomas ChabotD · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:53 | 0.06 | 76.3% | 0.0 |
 Jake SandersonD · #85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:25 | 0.15 | 42.9% | 0.0 |
 Brady TkachukLW · #7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 19:55 | 0.97 | 87.6% | +11.3 |
 Drake BathersonRW · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 18:48 | 0.41 | 44.9% | +11.3 |
 Fabian ZetterlundLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 18:09 | 0.60 | 73.3% | 0.0 |
 Nick JensenD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:44 | 0.01 | 75.7% | 0.0 |
 Claude GirouxRW · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:33 | 0.00 | 38.6% | +22.2 |
 Ridly GreigC · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 17:25 | 0.00 | 27.1% | +22.2 |
 Dylan CozensC · #24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 17:18 | 0.14 | 44.3% | +11.3 |
 Tyler KlevenD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:27 | 0.05 | 41.8% | 0.0 |
 Travis HamonicD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:19 | 0.09 | 41.7% | 0.0 |
 Artem ZubD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:17 | 0.00 | 42.9% | 0.0 |
 David PerronLW · #57 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 15:44 | 0.12 | 43.7% | +22.2 |
 Shane PintoC · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:59 | 0.18 | 40.2% | 0.0 |
 Matthew HighmoreC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:11 | 0.01 | 27.9% | 0.0 |
 Michael AmadioRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:37 | 0.07 | 27.9% | 0.0 |
 Adam GaudetteRW · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:36 | 0.00 | 16.0% | 0.0 |
 Anton Forsberg#31 | L | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 1.37 | −1.6 | 57:30 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus DahlinD · #26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 23:33 | 0.15 | 73.0% | +23.7 |
 Bowen ByramD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:52 | 0.06 | 42.2% | 0.0 |
 Connor CliftonD · #75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:49 | 0.00 | 13.3% | 0.0 |
 Ryan McLeodC · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:47 | 0.04 | 18.4% | +19.2 |
 Mattias SamuelssonD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:32 | 0.00 | 57.0% | 0.0 |
 Owen PowerD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:35 | 0.01 | 37.0% | 0.0 |
 Tage ThompsonC · #72 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:10 | 0.41 | 61.6% | +23.7 |
 Jiri KulichC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:04 | 0.05 | 61.6% | 0.0 |
 Alex TuchRW · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:42 | 0.06 | 33.6% | 0.0 |
 Zach BensonLW · #9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:31 | 0.21 | 60.6% | +23.7 |
 Jack QuinnRW · #22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:23 | 0.16 | 25.4% | +19.2 |
 JJ PeterkaRW · #77 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:49 | 0.09 | 25.0% | +19.2 |
 Jacob Bernard-DockerD · #24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:08 | 0.04 | 45.2% | +23.8 |
 Jason ZuckerLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:41 | 0.07 | 41.5% | 0.0 |
 Peyton KrebsC · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:17 | 0.03 | 53.3% | +23.8 |
 Beck MalenstynLW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:10 | 0.00 | 26.4% | 0.0 |
 Tyson KozakC · #48 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:47 | 0.00 | 29.5% | +23.8 |
 Isak RosenRW · #63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:26 | 0.00 | 28.3% | 0.0 |
 James Reimer#47 | W | 32 | 30 | 2 | .938 | 3.05 | +1.0 | 60:00 |