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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 25, 2025·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Pittsburgh Penguins 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 6

Away

Pittsburgh Penguins

1

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 85% of the time.

TBL winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:27Shot by Cirelli, saved by Jarry
  3. P1 4:13Shot by Rakell, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 6:10Shot by Acciari, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 7:02Rakell: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Paul, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser · PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Rakell, Grzelcyk

  6. P1 9:20Shot by Timmins, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 11:54Shot by Cirelli, saved by Jarry
  8. P1 12:13Goal by Cirelli (Paul, McDonagh)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Paul, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rust, Grzelcyk, Dewar

  9. P1 13:07Shot by Crosby, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 13:30Goal by McDonagh (Kucherov, Cernak)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Moser · PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Rakell, Grzelcyk

  11. P1 15:12Goal by Cirelli (Hagel, Moser)+8 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Paul, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser · PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Rakell, Grzelcyk

  12. P1 15:57Shot by Guentzel, saved by Jarry
  13. P1 16:00Goal by Point (Guentzel, Kucherov)+5 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh · PIT Karlsson, Acciari, Timmins, Dewar, Lizotte

  14. P1 18:08Shot by Hagel, saved by Nedeljkovic
  15. P1 19:05Shot by Guentzel, saved by Nedeljkovic
  16. P1 19:06Shot by Kucherov, saved by Nedeljkovic
  17. P1 19:54Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Nedeljkovic
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 2:22Shot by Point, saved by Nedeljkovic
  21. P2 3:12Shot by Paul, saved by Nedeljkovic
  22. P2 3:57Shot by Letang, saved by Vasilevskiy
  23. P2 6:44Shot by Hagel, saved by Nedeljkovic
  24. P2 7:05Lilleberg: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Gourde, Bjorkstrand, Perbix, Goncalves, Lilleberg · PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Acciari, Timmins, Dewar

  25. P2 9:50Shot by Paul, saved by Nedeljkovic
  26. P2 10:03Shot by Imama, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P2 10:35Shot by Point, saved by Nedeljkovic
  28. P2 12:41Shot by Hedman, saved by Nedeljkovic
  29. P2 13:39Graves: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel · PIT Graves, Acciari, Dewar, Lizotte, Kolyachonok

  30. P2 13:50Shot by Koppanen, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  31. P2 14:48Shot by Dewar, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  32. P2 15:31Goal by Kucherov (Raddysh, Bjorkstrand)5v4+1 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Gourde, Bjorkstrand, Paul, Raddysh · PIT Letang, Grzelcyk, Acciari, Koppanen

  33. P2 15:41Shot by Hagel, saved by Nedeljkovic
  34. P2 17:35Shot by McDonagh, saved by Nedeljkovic
  35. P2 19:19Goal by Hagel (Perbix, Lilleberg)0 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Paul, Cirelli, Hagel, Perbix, Lilleberg · PIT Karlsson, Acciari, Timmins, Dewar, Lizotte

  36. P2 0:00Period end
  37. P3 0:00Period start
  38. P3 0:27Shot by Moser, saved by Nedeljkovic
  39. P3 0:39Shot by Letang, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P3 1:09Shot by Bemstrom, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P3 3:47Shot by Letang, saved by Vasilevskiy
  42. P3 3:53Imama: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Paul, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel · PIT Karlsson, Imama, Koppanen, Timmins, Bemstrom

  43. P3 3:53Imama: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Paul, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel · PIT Karlsson, Imama, Koppanen, Timmins, Bemstrom

  44. P3 3:53Imama: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Paul, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel · PIT Karlsson, Imama, Koppanen, Timmins, Bemstrom

  45. P3 4:48Kucherov: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Hagel · PIT Letang, Grzelcyk, Acciari, Lizotte

  46. P3 7:06Shot by Raddysh, saved by Nedeljkovic5v4
  47. P3 7:20Shot by Raddysh, saved by Nedeljkovic5v4
  48. P3 9:56Shot by Dewar, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P3 10:48Shot by Gourde, saved by Nedeljkovic
  50. P3 10:56Shot by Glendening, saved by Nedeljkovic
  51. P3 11:06Shot by Crosby, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P3 11:26Shot by Perbix, saved by Nedeljkovic
  53. P3 14:15Goal by Rust (Grzelcyk, Crosby)0 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Paul, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser · PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rust, Rakell, Grzelcyk

  54. P3 19:38Shot by Timmins, saved by Vasilevskiy
  55. P3 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Final