Tue, Mar 25, 2025·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Pittsburgh Penguins 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 85% of the time.
78%
9%
TBL winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Erik KarlssonD · #65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 24:44 | 0.08 | 34.5% | 0.0 |
 Kris LetangD · #58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 22:43 | 0.11 | 19.3% | 0.0 |
 Bryan RustRW · #17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 21:38 | 0.07 | 24.2% | 0.0 |
 Matt GrzelcykD · #24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 20:00 | 0.00 | 16.2% | 0.0 |
 Conor TimminsD · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:46 | 0.16 | 47.8% | 0.0 |
 Sidney CrosbyC · #87 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 19:41 | 0.03 | 30.1% | 0.0 |
 Blake LizotteC · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:30 | 0.09 | 31.5% | 0.0 |
 Rickard RakellRW · #67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:25 | 0.07 | 41.0% | 0.0 |
 Connor DewarC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 17:46 | 0.21 | 19.8% | 0.0 |
 Noel AcciariC · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:13 | 0.04 | 37.8% | 0.0 |
 Ryan GravesD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:01 | 0.02 | 18.9% | 0.0 |
 Vladislav KolyachonokD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:49 | 0.00 | 8.2% | 0.0 |
 Kevin HayesRW · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:58 | 0.00 | 7.0% | 0.0 |
 Joona KoppanenLW · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:58 | 0.06 | 51.5% | 0.0 |
 Danton HeinenLW · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:48 | 0.04 | 8.3% | 0.0 |
 Philip TomasinoRW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:24 | 0.00 | 15.0% | 0.0 |
 Emil BemstromC · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:03 | 0.11 | 48.6% | 0.0 |
 Bokondji ImamaLW · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:41 | 0.00 | 53.4% | 0.0 |
 Tristan Jarry#35 | L | 7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 0.84 | −3.2 | 16:00 |
 Alex Nedeljkovic#39 | – | 20 | 18 | 2 | .900 | 2.23 | +0.2 | 44:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 21:05 | 0.02 | 81.1% | +24.2 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 20:55 | 0.20 | 83.4% | +4.6 |
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:26 | 0.27 | 71.0% | 0.0 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 20:20 | 0.81 | 84.4% | +4.6 |
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:53 | 0.21 | 66.2% | +0.9 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 18:20 | 0.50 | 72.0% | +20.5 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 18:17 | 0.30 | 85.8% | +17.2 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 17:58 | 0.22 | 79.1% | +8.2 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 17:51 | 0.06 | 69.9% | +12.6 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:45 | 0.10 | 72.7% | +7.9 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:07 | 0.01 | 66.9% | 0.0 |
 Nick PerbixD · #48 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:46 | 0.03 | 45.4% | +0.2 |
 Emil LillebergD · #78 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:50 | 0.00 | 72.2% | +0.2 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:56 | 0.23 | 60.3% | +0.9 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:37 | 0.11 | 34.8% | 0.0 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:31 | 0.00 | 60.9% | 0.0 |
 Luke GlendeningC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:14 | 0.00 | 4.2% | 0.0 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 4:20 | 0.00 | 93.1% | +11.6 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | W | 15 | 14 | 1 | .933 | 1.09 | +0.1 | 59:49 |