Tue, Mar 25, 2025·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Pittsburgh Penguins 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 85% of the time.
78%
9%
TBL winsPIT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PIT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Crosby–Rust–Rakell | Acciari–Dewar–Lizotte | Hayes–Heinen–Tomasino | Imama–Koppanen–Bemstrom | Rust–Dewar–Lizotte | Hayes–Heinen–Dewar | Acciari–Koppanen–Lizotte | Karlsson–Timmins | Letang–Grzelcyk | Graves–Kolyachonok | Letang–Karlsson | Karlsson–Kolyachonok | Karlsson–Grzelcyk | Grzelcyk–Graves | Graves–Timmins | Letang–Kolyachonok | Timmins–Kolyachonok | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kucherov–Guentzel–Point | 4:290.02–0.15 | 4:000.59–0.01 | 1:340.15–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:410.18–0.00 | 1:370.32–0.11 | 2:390.02–0.03 | 4:500.31–0.01 | 1:010.00–0.02 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:570.18–0.00 | ||||||
| Paul–Cirelli–Hagel | 6:510.35–0.07 | 1:360.12–0.11 | 1:050.06–0.00 | 3:430.38–0.00 | 2:220.09–0.00 | 0:490.04–0.00 | 0:460.01–0.00 | 0:510.34–0.07 | 0:480.00–0.11 | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Gourde–Bjorkstrand–Goncalves | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.09 | 2:550.23–0.04 | 0:380.00–0.08 | 2:470.00–0.23 | 3:300.39–0.00 | 0:340.05–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Glendening–Girgensons–Paul | 0:300.00–0.01 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.12 | 1:110.00–0.12 | 0:590.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Glendening–Gourde–Girgensons | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.01 | 0:520.00–0.02 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Glendening–Girgensons–Goncalves | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:140.00–0.01 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.01 | |||||||||||||
| Kucherov–Glendening–Girgensons | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Perbix–Lilleberg | 3:590.12–0.03 | 4:230.01–0.01 | 2:240.00–0.02 | 4:110.13–0.04 | 2:230.00–0.00 | 3:370.00–0.03 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.01 | 0:570.00–0.01 | ||||||||
| Hedman–Raddysh | 0:350.00–0.07 | 5:360.50–0.16 | 1:400.36–0.00 | 2:260.06–0.08 | 0:310.05–0.00 | 2:000.37–0.14 | 2:190.23–0.00 | 4:150.21–0.00 | 1:040.05–0.05 | 1:020.00–0.11 | 1:030.00–0.00 | ||||||
| McDonagh–Moser | 8:190.38–0.14 | 0:360.18–0.00 | 2:120.21–0.01 | 3:240.28–0.05 | 0:550.04–0.00 | 1:260.01–0.02 | 1:230.11–0.00 | 0:580.18–0.00 | |||||||||
| McDonagh–Cernak | 3:250.00–0.03 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 2:130.00–0.03 | 1:000.34–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Hedman–Moser | 0:460.00–0.09 | 0:390.00–0.04 | 1:160.00–0.13 | ||||||||||||||
| McDonagh–Raddysh | 0:300.00–0.11 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Raddysh–Perbix | 1:070.00–0.12 | 1:090.00–0.12 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLPITFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Erik KarlssonPIT | 27 | 24:44 | 0:55 | 1:53 | 1 | 4 |
 Kris LetangPIT | 27 | 22:43 | 0:50 | 1:48 | 1 | 4 |
 Bryan RustPIT | 30 | 21:38 | 0:43 | 1:20 | 8 | 3 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 29 | 21:05 | 0:44 | 1:23 | 2 | 8 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 19 | 20:55 | 1:06 | 2:32 | 5 | 2 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 28 | 20:26 | 0:44 | 2:52 | 6 | 1 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 21 | 20:20 | 0:58 | 2:25 | 6 | 3 |
 Matt GrzelcykPIT | 25 | 20:00 | 0:48 | 1:27 | 3 | 3 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 25 | 19:53 | 0:48 | 1:36 | 5 | 1 |
 Conor TimminsPIT | 28 | 19:46 | 0:42 | 1:11 | 2 | 9 |
 Sidney CrosbyPIT | 29 | 19:41 | 0:41 | 1:28 | 8 | 1 |
 Blake LizottePIT | 25 | 18:30 | 0:44 | 1:52 | 1 | 6 |
 Rickard RakellPIT | 28 | 18:25 | 0:39 | 1:26 | 7 | 2 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 22 | 18:20 | 0:50 | 1:43 | 2 | 6 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 21 | 18:17 | 0:52 | 2:11 | 6 | 3 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 26 | 17:58 | 0:41 | 1:49 | 3 | 5 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 24 | 17:51 | 0:45 | 1:31 | 3 | 3 |
 Connor DewarPIT | 25 | 17:46 | 0:43 | 1:48 | 1 | 8 |
 J.J. MoserTBL | 27 | 17:45 | 0:39 | 1:15 | 2 | 7 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 24 | 17:07 | 0:43 | 1:06 | 5 | 3 |
 Nick PerbixTBL | 21 | 16:46 | 0:48 | 1:28 | 2 | 4 |
 Noel AcciariPIT | 25 | 16:13 | 0:39 | 1:47 | 1 | 6 |
 Ryan GravesPIT | 18 | 16:01 | 0:53 | 1:49 | 2 | 4 |
 Vladislav KolyachonokPIT | 22 | 15:49 | 0:43 | 1:48 | 2 | 4 |
 Emil LillebergTBL | 22 | 14:50 | 0:40 | 1:24 | 3 | 4 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandTBL | 19 | 12:56 | 0:41 | 1:12 | 6 | 2 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 19 | 12:37 | 0:40 | 1:07 | 3 | 3 |
 Gage GoncalvesTBL | 18 | 12:31 | 0:42 | 1:09 | 2 | 2 |
 Luke GlendeningTBL | 22 | 12:14 | 0:33 | 1:07 | 3 | 7 |
 Kevin HayesPIT | 16 | 11:58 | 0:45 | 1:20 | 4 | 2 |
 Joona KoppanenPIT | 17 | 11:58 | 0:42 | 1:19 | 2 | 5 |
 Danton HeinenPIT | 17 | 11:48 | 0:42 | 1:20 | 4 | 2 |
 Philip TomasinoPIT | 16 | 11:24 | 0:43 | 1:18 | 3 | 1 |
 Emil BemstromPIT | 11 | 8:03 | 0:44 | 1:13 | 2 | 2 |
 Bokondji ImamaPIT | 9 | 5:41 | 0:38 | 1:07 | 2 | 2 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 6 | 4:20 | 0:43 | 0:57 | 0 | 1 |