Thu, Mar 27, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Buffalo Sabres 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 55% of the time.
34%
11%
9%
46%
BUF winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Bryan RustRW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 23:32 | 0.21 | 68.9% | 0.0 |
 Rickard RakellRW · #67 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 23:16 | 0.00 | 33.9% | +11.2 |
 Kris LetangD · #58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 23:13 | 0.02 | 61.4% | 0.0 |
 Matt GrzelcykD · #24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 1 | 23:12 | 0.01 | 61.0% | +11.2 |
 Sidney CrosbyC · #87 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 22:55 | 0.25 | 39.2% | +11.2 |
 Erik KarlssonD · #65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:27 | 0.18 | 83.9% | 0.0 |
 Blake LizotteC · #46 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 19:00 | 1.16 | 65.6% | +0.1 |
 Conor TimminsD · #20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:24 | 0.04 | 78.4% | 0.0 |
 Noel AcciariC · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:26 | 0.00 | 20.3% | 0.0 |
 Joona KoppanenLW · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:08 | 0.02 | 70.3% | 0.0 |
 Kevin HayesRW · #13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15:13 | 0.78 | 56.8% | 0.0 |
 Ryan GravesD · #27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:39 | 0.00 | 22.6% | 0.0 |
 Connor DewarC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:31 | 0.11 | 43.1% | 0.0 |
 Ryan SheaD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:55 | 0.00 | 28.0% | 0.0 |
 Danton HeinenLW · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:52 | 0.00 | 62.2% | 0.0 |
 Philip TomasinoRW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 8:45 | 0.02 | 40.8% | 0.0 |
 Vladislav KolyachonokD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:30 | 0.00 | 3.6% | 0.0 |
 Emil BemstromC · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:20 | 0.00 | 69.6% | 0.0 |
 Tristan Jarry#35 | L | 12 | 8 | 4 | .667 | 1.37 | −2.6 | 25:20 |
 Alex Nedeljkovic#39 | – | 18 | 15 | 3 | .833 | 1.15 | −1.9 | 34:22 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Bowen ByramD · #4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 24:01 | 0.00 | 50.7% | +16.0 |
 Rasmus DahlinD · #26 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 20:33 | 0.09 | 33.4% | +16.4 |
 Connor CliftonD · #75 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 20:28 | 0.04 | 57.1% | +10.3 |
 Tage ThompsonC · #72 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 19:53 | 0.28 | 84.2% | +21.9 |
 Jiri KulichC · #20 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 19:07 | 0.54 | 88.6% | +16.0 |
 JJ PeterkaRW · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:45 | 0.17 | 31.6% | 0.0 |
 Mattias SamuelssonD · #23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:48 | 0.06 | 32.6% | +7.4 |
 Alex TuchRW · #89 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 17:41 | 0.09 | 28.3% | +10.5 |
 Owen PowerD · #25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:19 | 0.00 | 55.2% | +0.2 |
 Ryan McLeodC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:58 | 0.24 | 26.1% | 0.0 |
 Jacob Bernard-DockerD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:49 | 0.01 | 62.5% | 0.0 |
 Zach BensonLW · #9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 16:31 | 0.12 | 87.4% | +9.0 |
 Peyton KrebsC · #19 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 15:02 | 0.37 | 32.2% | +11.4 |
 Jack QuinnRW · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:43 | 0.19 | 30.4% | +3.1 |
 Isak RosenRW · #63 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:25 | 0.11 | 30.3% | +7.4 |
 Tyson KozakC · #48 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 9:07 | 0.13 | 51.6% | +1.4 |
 Beck MalenstynLW · #29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:55 | 0.09 | 57.4% | +1.1 |
 Josh DunneC · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:55 | 0.00 | 2.6% | 0.0 |
 James Reimer#47 | W | 25 | 23 | 3 | .920 | 2.80 | −0.2 | 60:00 |