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Ice Lab

Tue, Apr 1, 2025·UBS Arena, Elmont

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, New York Islanders 1

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Final

Home

New York Islanders

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 66% of the time.

NYI winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:20Shot by Raddysh, saved by Sorokin
  3. P1 2:13Shot by Raddysh, saved by Sorokin
  4. P1 3:25Shot by Fasching, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 4:01Shot by Girgensons, saved by Sorokin
  6. P1 4:16Chaffee: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Lee, Horvat, Dobson, Romanov · TBL McDonagh, Girgensons, Cernak, Hagel, Chaffee

  7. P1 4:16Palmieri: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Lee, Horvat, Dobson, Romanov · TBL McDonagh, Girgensons, Cernak, Hagel, Chaffee

  8. P1 4:19Shot by Paul, saved by Sorokin4v4
  9. P1 4:25Shot by Horvat, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  10. P1 5:18Shot by Point, saved by Sorokin4v4
  11. P1 5:32Shot by Hagel, saved by Sorokin4v4
  12. P1 6:31Shot by Palmieri, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 6:48Shot by Horvat, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P1 6:54Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P1 7:19Shot by Romanov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  16. P1 8:46Goal by Bjorkstrand (Raddysh, Point)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Dobson, Romanov, MacLean, Gatcomb, Tsyplakov · TBL Bjorkstrand, Point, Raddysh, Goncalves, Lilleberg

  17. P1 9:07Cizikas: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Pelech, Fasching, DeAngelo, Engvall · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Moser

  18. P1 10:14Shot by Guentzel, saved by Sorokin4v5
  19. P1 10:57Goal by Horvat (Pulock)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Pelech, Horvat, Romanov · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, Hagel

  20. P1 11:36Shot by Fasching, saved by Vasilevskiy
  21. P1 13:09Shot by Pelech, saved by Vasilevskiy
  22. P1 14:46Hagel: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Pelech, Duclair, DeAngelo, Holmstrom · TBL Hedman, Paul, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser

  23. P1 15:18Shot by Gourde, saved by Sorokin5v4
  24. P1 16:13Tsyplakov: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Pulock, Boqvist, Holmstrom, Tsyplakov · TBL Hedman, Girgensons, Cirelli, Moser

  25. P1 17:31Shot by Kucherov, saved by Sorokin4v5
  26. P1 18:40Shot by Cizikas, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P1 19:15Shot by Paul, saved by Sorokin
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 1:22Shot by Horvat, saved by Vasilevskiy
  31. P2 2:33Shot by Tsyplakov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  32. P2 3:16Shot by Fasching, saved by Vasilevskiy
  33. P2 3:26Lilleberg: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Fasching, Engvall, Dobson, Romanov · TBL Gourde, Bjorkstrand, Raddysh, Goncalves, Lilleberg

  34. P2 5:13Moser: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Pulock, Dobson, Holmstrom, Tsyplakov · TBL Hedman, Girgensons, Guentzel, Moser

  35. P2 6:01Shot by Guentzel, saved by Sorokin5v4
  36. P2 6:39Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  37. P2 7:19Shot by Duclair, saved by Vasilevskiy
  38. P2 8:09Goal by Guentzel (Kucherov, Point)+23 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Pelech, Duclair, DeAngelo, Holmstrom · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh

  39. P2 10:13Shot by Palmieri, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 10:41Goal by Hedman (Kucherov, Guentzel)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Lee, Pelech, Horvat, DeAngelo · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh

  41. P2 13:59Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Vasilevskiy
  42. P2 14:02Shot by Gatcomb, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P2 16:03Shot by Hagel, saved by Sorokin
  44. P2 16:17Shot by Girgensons, saved by Sorokin
  45. P2 17:25Shot by Gourde, saved by Sorokin
  46. P2 19:43Shot by Engvall, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P2 0:00Cirelli: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Pelech, Fasching, Engvall, Dobson · TBL Hedman, Paul, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser

  48. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:24Lee: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Lee, Horvat, DeAngelo, Boqvist · TBL McDonagh, Gourde, Cernak, Hagel

  51. P3 0:59Shot by Paul, saved by Sorokin4v4
  52. P3 1:20Shot by Palmieri, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  53. P3 1:26Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  54. P3 1:27Shot by Pelech, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  55. P3 2:12Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  56. P3 3:59Engvall: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Fasching, Engvall, Dobson, Romanov · TBL Girgensons, Raddysh, Cirelli, Goncalves, Moser

  57. P3 4:15Shot by Pulock, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  58. P3 4:32Shot by Kucherov, saved by Sorokin4v5
  59. P3 5:19Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Sorokin4v5
  60. P3 9:30Shot by Cernak, saved by Sorokin
  61. P3 13:21Gourde: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Fasching, Pulock, Engvall, Boqvist · TBL McDonagh, Gourde, Bjorkstrand, Cernak, Goncalves

  62. P3 13:21Cizikas: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Fasching, Pulock, Engvall, Boqvist · TBL McDonagh, Gourde, Bjorkstrand, Cernak, Goncalves

  63. P3 16:05Shot by Horvat, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
  64. P3 16:06Shot by Palmieri, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
  65. P3 16:29Goal by Paul (Cirelli, Cernak)6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Lee, Pageau, Horvat, DeAngelo, Boqvist · TBL McDonagh, Guentzel, Paul, Cernak, Cirelli

  66. P3 16:51Shot by Chaffee, saved by Sorokin
  67. P3 17:43Shot by Duclair, saved by Vasilevskiy
  68. P3 18:03Shot by Pageau, saved by Vasilevskiy
  69. P3 18:44Shot by Romanov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  70. P3 19:28Shot by Chaffee, saved by Sorokin
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final