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Ice Lab

Tue, Apr 1, 2025·UBS Arena, Elmont

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, New York Islanders 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 66% of the time.

NYI winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NYI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kucherov–Guentzel–PointPaul–Cirelli–HagelGourde–Bjorkstrand–GoncalvesGirgensons–Paul–ChaffeeGourde–Girgensons–ChaffeeGirgensons–Bjorkstrand–ChaffeeHedman–MoserMcDonagh–CernakPerbix–LillebergRaddysh–LillebergPerbix–MoserHedman–RaddyshRaddysh–Moser
Pageau–Duclair–Holmstrom2:560.00–0.184:330.00–0.031:110.00–0.005:470.00–0.081:120.00–0.001:070.00–0.001:230.00–0.000:400.00–0.18
Cizikas–Fasching–Engvall1:340.09–0.001:410.39–0.001:050.01–0.011:410.00–0.010:300.04–0.001:150.09–0.002:000.05–0.002:510.18–0.020:450.23–0.000:410.00–0.00
MacLean–Gatcomb–Tsyplakov0:390.06–0.003:290.25–0.040:550.00–0.070:400.00–0.012:120.00–0.001:240.06–0.071:300.17–0.101:030.09–0.00
Palmieri–Lee–Horvat5:140.09–0.281:110.14–0.094:090.09–0.430:440.27–0.000:420.00–0.17
Fasching–Engvall–MacLean0:490.00–0.00
Pelech–DeAngelo5:090.00–0.400:430.00–0.001:250.33–0.001:280.00–0.010:340.04–0.002:100.02–0.093:440.04–0.003:470.43–0.091:080.17–0.000:500.00–0.31
Pulock–Boqvist1:070.09–0.022:060.00–0.022:360.08–0.010:500.00–0.003:570.00–0.082:520.09–0.020:380.00–0.001:160.00–0.151:390.11–0.00
Dobson–Romanov2:210.00–0.043:040.13–0.011:240.34–0.030:490.00–0.000:530.00–0.012:000.13–0.012:300.01–0.411:370.00–0.011:590.34–0.100:300.02–0.000:550.00–0.080:320.00–0.00
Pelech–Dobson1:210.09–0.001:250.09–0.00
Pulock–Romanov0:460.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndEngvall FFasching FCizikas FHolmstrom FDuclair FPageau FLee FHorvat FPalmieri FTsyplakov FGatcomb FMacLean FPulock DBoqvist DPelech DDeAngelo DDobson DRomanov DSorokin GBjorkstrand FGourde FGoncalves FPoint FGuentzel FKucherov FPaul FHagel FCirelli FGirgensons FChaffee FMcDonagh DCernak DHedman DMoser DRaddysh DPerbix DLilleberg DVasilevskiy G
NYITBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2223:101:031:5542
Noah DobsonNYI2722:140:492:3923
Jake GuentzelTBL2121:301:012:2733
Tony DeAngeloNYI2320:500:542:0163
Ryan PulockNYI3020:500:422:0824
Adam PelechNYI2520:430:501:2245
Brandon HagelTBL2220:150:551:5043
Brayden PointTBL1719:111:082:4844
Alexander RomanovNYI2618:430:431:2914
Bo HorvatNYI2318:370:491:4745
Nikita KucherovTBL1718:341:062:2644
Erik CernakTBL2418:340:461:2045
Ryan McDonaghTBL2218:070:491:2024
J.J. MoserTBL2418:050:452:0023
Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI2318:040:472:1633
Nick PaulTBL2117:560:511:4952
Simon HolmstromNYI2116:500:482:0313
Adam BoqvistNYI2316:410:442:1631
Kyle PalmieriNYI2116:100:461:4745
Anthony CirelliTBL2115:280:441:4923
Zemgus GirgensonsTBL1914:570:471:2021
Anders LeeNYI1714:380:521:3741
Oliver BjorkstrandTBL1314:301:072:2334
Pierre EngvallNYI2114:100:400:5833
Emil LillebergTBL1814:010:471:1002
Casey CizikasNYI2013:080:391:0123
Hudson FaschingNYI1913:040:411:0123
Maxim TsyplakovNYI1512:220:491:3030
Anthony DuclairNYI1212:151:012:1511
Yanni GourdeTBL1412:030:521:3513
Nick PerbixTBL1411:440:501:2903
Mitchell ChaffeeTBL1311:080:511:2710
Marc GatcombNYI1310:340:491:3220
Kyle MacLeanNYI1310:330:491:3141
Gage GoncalvesTBL1410:260:451:1823
Darren RaddyshTBL1510:210:411:1921