Tue, Apr 1, 2025·UBS Arena, Elmont
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, New York Islanders 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 66% of the time.
26%
8%
59%
NYI winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 23:10 | 0.22 | 70.2% | +16.3 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 21:30 | 0.94 | 55.4% | +39.1 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:15 | 0.10 | 48.4% | 0.0 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 19:11 | 0.36 | 83.6% | +38.7 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 18:34 | 0.15 | 80.8% | +39.1 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:34 | 0.16 | 75.1% | +1.4 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:07 | 0.00 | 56.9% | 0.0 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:05 | 0.00 | 25.9% | 0.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:56 | 0.91 | 31.1% | +1.4 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:28 | 0.00 | 27.5% | +1.4 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:57 | 0.48 | 67.8% | 0.0 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:30 | 0.18 | 24.0% | +15.9 |
 Emil LillebergD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:01 | 0.01 | 26.0% | 0.0 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:03 | 0.24 | 5.1% | 0.0 |
 Nick PerbixD · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:44 | 0.00 | 19.2% | 0.0 |
 Mitchell ChaffeeRW · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:08 | 0.21 | 66.4% | 0.0 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:26 | 0.00 | 27.4% | 0.0 |
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 10:21 | 0.05 | 55.4% | +15.9 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | W | 29 | 28 | 1 | .966 | 2.99 | +2.0 | 60:00 |
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Noah DobsonD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:14 | 0.00 | 48.7% | 0.0 |
 Tony DeAngeloD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 5 | 20:50 | 0.34 | 59.6% | 0.0 |
 Ryan PulockD · #6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:50 | 0.02 | 53.1% | +17.2 |
 Adam PelechD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:43 | 0.08 | 61.1% | 0.0 |
 Alexander RomanovD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:43 | 0.08 | 47.0% | 0.0 |
 Bo HorvatC · #14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 18:37 | 0.65 | 39.7% | +17.2 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauC · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:04 | 0.03 | 40.3% | 0.0 |
 Simon HolmstromRW · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:50 | 0.00 | 35.8% | 0.0 |
 Adam BoqvistD · #34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:41 | 0.02 | 62.7% | 0.0 |
 Kyle PalmieriC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:10 | 0.20 | 42.4% | 0.0 |
 Anders LeeLW · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:38 | 0.45 | 39.7% | 0.0 |
 Pierre EngvallLW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:10 | 0.13 | 79.1% | 0.0 |
 Casey CizikasC · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:08 | 0.26 | 81.1% | 0.0 |
 Hudson FaschingRW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:04 | 0.29 | 88.5% | 0.0 |
 Maxim TsyplakovRW · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:22 | 0.13 | 68.2% | 0.0 |
 Anthony DuclairLW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:15 | 0.15 | 35.8% | 0.0 |
 Marc GatcombC · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:34 | 0.15 | 48.2% | 0.0 |
 Kyle MacLeanC · #32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:33 | 0.00 | 61.5% | 0.0 |
 Ilya Sorokin#30 | L | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 3.31 | +0.3 | 59:34 |