Thu, Apr 17, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Philadelphia Flyers 4, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 75% of the time.
67%
18%
BUF winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 21:20 | 0.15 | 64.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21:04 | 0.17 | 51.5% | +18.5 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | −1 | 6 | 20:43 | 0.68 | 50.7% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 20:30 | 0.00 | 23.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:15 | 0.11 | 50.9% | +6.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 19:49 | 0.00 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:23 | 0.06 | 22.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18:27 | 0.13 | 32.1% | +25.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:00 | 0.02 | 18.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 16:45 | 0.09 | 37.3% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 15:46 | 0.36 | 29.5% | +2.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:33 | 0.12 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:08 | 0.01 | 46.3% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 13:14 | 0.16 | 29.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:12 | 0.00 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:58 | 0.00 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:39 | 0.07 | 30.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:25 | 0.00 | 31.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 26 | 4 | .867 | 2.74 | −1.3 | 58:49 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:45 | 0.00 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:48 | 0.00 | 58.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:51 | 0.00 | 50.4% | +10.2 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 5 | 19:46 | 1.35 | 60.9% | +23.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:40 | 0.03 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 19:23 | 0.13 | 71.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:19 | 0.00 | 67.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 17:43 | 0.40 | 67.9% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 17:36 | 0.13 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 16:39 | 0.09 | 74.4% | +10.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:08 | 0.35 | 55.7% | +19.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 15:19 | 0.53 | 58.1% | +10.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:13 | 0.05 | 72.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 14:27 | 0.10 | 34.0% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:55 | 0.13 | 74.6% | +10.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:16 | 0.12 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:36 | 0.07 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:03 | 0.06 | 35.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 20 | 4 | .833 | 2.13 | −1.9 | 60:00 |