Sat, Oct 11, 2025·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
St. Louis Blues 4, Calgary Flames 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 61% of the time.
53%
9%
31%
CGY winsSTL wins
St. Louis Blues
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 25:02 | 0.10 | 55.5% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 24:58 | 0.08 | 52.0% | +26.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:58 | 0.02 | 40.0% | +26.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 23:03 | 0.03 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 21:00 | 0.08 | 22.0% | +43.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:45 | 0.31 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 20:00 | 0.44 | 28.9% | +26.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 18:44 | 0.41 | 63.2% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:52 | 0.00 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:57 | 0.25 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 14:44 | 0.25 | 23.5% | +52.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:52 | 0.07 | 70.5% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10:30 | 0.18 | 12.6% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 9:59 | 0.37 | 78.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8:19 | 0.00 | 56.9% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:18 | 0.01 | 22.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:42 | 0.00 | 14.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:29 | 0.00 | 21.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 3.24 | +1.2 | 59:58 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 25:25 | 0.10 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 23:51 | 0.50 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 21:27 | 0.43 | 43.9% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:16 | 0.15 | 69.7% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:07 | 0.00 | 36.7% | +19.1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 18:27 | 0.24 | 62.2% | +34.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:21 | 0.20 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 17:48 | 0.01 | 69.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:21 | 0.23 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:08 | 0.42 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 15:43 | 0.20 | 80.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:39 | 0.00 | 65.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:38 | 0.26 | 68.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 13:02 | 0.25 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:22 | 0.14 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:24 | 0.10 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:23 | 0.02 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:02 | 0.00 | 32.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 2.60 | −1.4 | 56:45 |