Sat, Oct 11, 2025·Lenovo Center, Raleigh
Philadelphia Flyers 3, Carolina Hurricanes 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 77% of the time.
71%
17%
CAR winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 29:34 | 0.13 | 41.3% | +44.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:08 | 0.00 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:56 | 0.00 | 18.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:05 | 0.03 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:22 | 0.08 | 40.8% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:41 | 0.18 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:09 | 0.24 | 38.8% | +14.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17:44 | 0.69 | 36.2% | +61.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:37 | 0.38 | 42.7% | +44.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:49 | 0.30 | 27.3% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:46 | 0.00 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:20 | 0.67 | 45.6% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:22 | 0.00 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:21 | 0.00 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:27 | 0.00 | 25.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:32 | 0.27 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 8:36 | 0.07 | 58.2% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:40 | 0.00 | 66.4% | 0.0 |
| O | 39 | 35 | 4 | .897 | 5.08 | +1.1 | 64:43 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 25:56 | 0.13 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:00 | 0.03 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20:50 | 0.50 | 59.2% | +50.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:35 | 0.57 | 57.1% | +50.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 20:25 | 0.09 | 79.9% | +50.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 19:59 | 0.28 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 19:27 | 0.96 | 57.0% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:15 | 0.04 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:19 | 0.34 | 72.9% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:56 | 0.52 | 78.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:48 | 0.21 | 45.3% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:48 | 0.07 | 73.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:50 | 0.27 | 78.1% | +29.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:42 | 0.33 | 77.9% | +29.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:28 | 0.32 | 52.5% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:22 | 0.22 | 86.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:26 | 0.09 | 28.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:56 | 0.11 | 32.4% | +18.0 |
| W | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 3.05 | 0.0 | 64:41 |