Tue, Oct 14, 2025·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Vegas Golden Knights 4, Calgary Flames 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 71% of the time.
21%
9%
9%
62%
CGY winsVGK wins
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:53 | 0.00 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:04 | 0.04 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 21:54 | 0.15 | 63.8% | +36.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 18:31 | 1.03 | 53.7% | +36.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:12 | 0.19 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 17:44 | 0.80 | 61.0% | +37.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 17:39 | 0.08 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:32 | 0.35 | 58.3% | +13.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:26 | 0.12 | 53.4% | +32.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:49 | 0.04 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:24 | 0.00 | 50.3% | +4.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:16 | 0.04 | 54.4% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:49 | 0.09 | 62.2% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 13:17 | 0.25 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:14 | 0.03 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:15 | 0.06 | 18.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:02 | 0.00 | 29.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:22 | 0.05 | 41.9% | 0.0 |
| – | 10 | 8 | 2 | .800 | 0.65 | −1.3 | 20:00 | |
| W | 19 | 19 | 0 | 1.000 | 1.54 | +1.5 | 39:37 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 23:37 | 0.00 | 32.2% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 21:26 | 0.22 | 72.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:43 | 0.00 | 68.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 4 | 20:35 | 0.49 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 19:12 | 0.06 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:49 | 0.09 | 54.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:49 | 0.01 | 19.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:43 | 0.01 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:05 | 0.06 | 68.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:49 | 0.30 | 58.9% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:01 | 0.01 | 26.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:41 | 0.13 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:25 | 0.32 | 60.4% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13:42 | 0.23 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:32 | 0.00 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:21 | 0.12 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:06 | 0.10 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:08 | 0.03 | 58.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 2.10 | −0.9 | 58:16 |