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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 14, 2025·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Vegas Golden Knights 4, Calgary Flames 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 71% of the time.

CGY winsVGK wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CGY forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against VGK's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Hertl–Marner–DorofeyevStone–Barbashev–EichelSmith–Saad–KarlssonSissons–Kolesar–ReinhardtMcNabb–TheodoreLauzon–KorczakHutton–WhitecloudHutton–TheodoreHutton–KorczakLauzon–Whitecloud
Kadri–Coronato–Gridin10:210.26–0.270:320.00–0.101:210.00–0.042:400.00–0.034:590.14–0.163:270.14–0.321:100.02–0.000:490.00–0.01
Frost–Farabee–Sharangovich0:310.02–0.000:380.00–0.016:290.40–0.202:280.00–0.063:150.08–0.132:560.15–0.063:560.19–0.20
Backlund–Coleman–Honzek1:400.02–0.006:390.37–0.290:550.00–0.000:300.02–0.005:550.30–0.051:310.07–0.242:080.12–0.00
Lomberg–Zary–Klapka1:120.02–0.161:130.07–0.004:470.17–0.082:470.09–0.163:050.05–0.002:070.05–0.08
Kadri–Farabee–Coronato1:010.41–0.00
Andersson–Bahl4:140.24–0.156:150.26–0.162:560.15–0.020:300.00–0.057:290.31–0.062:330.18–0.003:340.24–0.320:440.41–0.000:320.02–0.00
Weegar–Miromanov6:270.02–0.132:590.21–0.352:080.00–0.011:040.00–0.004:510.15–0.255:080.09–0.392:400.00–0.070:340.00–0.00
Hanley–Parekh1:220.04–0.003:530.15–0.214:390.19–0.032:240.01–0.063:360.10–0.004:180.21–0.21
Weegar–Parekh0:380.00–0.000:460.00–0.140:590.17–0.000:490.00–0.141:080.13–0.000:390.05–0.00
Weegar–Hanley0:320.00–0.000:500.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
Weegar–Andersson0:350.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBacklund FColeman FHonzek FCoronato FGridin FKadri FSharangovich FFarabee FFrost FKlapka FLomberg FZary FAndersson DBahl DWeegar DMiromanov DParekh DHanley DWolf GEichel FBarbashev FStone FDorofeyev FHertl FMarner FSmith FSaad FKarlsson FKolesar FReinhardt FSissons FMcNabb DTheodore DKorczak DLauzon DWhitecloud DHutton DHill GSchmid G
CGYVGKFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Shea TheodoreVGK3223:530:451:2243
MacKenzie WeegarCGY3423:370:421:1848
Brayden McNabbVGK2923:040:482:0343
Mitch MarnerVGK2221:541:002:1332
Rasmus AnderssonCGY3721:260:351:0032
Kevin BahlCGY3520:430:361:0642
Nazem KadriCGY2320:350:542:5863
Matt CoronatoCGY2419:120:481:2184
Tomas HertlVGK2118:310:531:2443
Pavel DorofeyevVGK2118:120:521:5342
Zayne ParekhCGY2417:490:451:1231
Daniil MiromanovCGY3017:490:360:5717
Jack EichelVGK2117:440:512:4931
Joel HanleyCGY2617:430:411:1724
Zach WhitecloudVGK2517:390:421:1822
Mark StoneVGK2017:320:532:1632
Kaedan KorczakVGK2517:260:421:1715
Joel FarabeeCGY2417:050:431:1542
Blake ColemanCGY2616:490:391:2232
Ben HuttonVGK2516:490:401:1921
William KarlssonVGK2116:240:471:1021
Jeremy LauzonVGK2516:160:391:0615
Matvei GridinCGY2016:010:481:2552
Morgan FrostCGY2215:410:431:0842
Mikael BacklundCGY2615:250:360:5433
Ivan BarbashevVGK2014:490:441:5032
Yegor SharangovichCGY2013:420:411:2522
Brandon SaadVGK1813:170:441:0530
Reilly SmithVGK1913:140:421:0620
Samuel HonzekCGY2112:320:360:5621
Adam KlapkaCGY1410:210:441:0913
Colton SissonsVGK1610:150:381:0922
Connor ZaryCGY1410:060:431:2013
Keegan KolesarVGK1610:020:381:0722
Cole ReinhardtVGK149:220:401:0622
Ryan LombergCGY129:080:461:1403