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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 14, 2025·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose

Carolina Hurricanes 5, San Jose Sharks 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 73% of the time.

SJS winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

SJS forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Ehlers–Aho–JarvisStaal–Martinook–CarrierHall–Stankoven–BlakeSvechnikov–Stankoven–BlakeJankowski–Robinson–SvechnikovHall–Jankowski–RobinsonWalker–MillerReilly–ChatfieldGostisbehere–NikishinGostisbehere–MillerChatfield–Nikishin
Toffoli–Eklund–Celebrini6:160.22–0.501:010.00–0.160:510.00–0.000:440.00–0.000:480.00–0.016:010.04–0.442:310.09–0.131:500.09–0.280:330.00–0.00
Kurashev–Dellandrea–Misa1:260.00–0.091:100.00–0.002:010.00–0.222:390.00–0.072:230.00–0.010:460.00–0.044:160.00–0.25
Reaves–Goodrow–Gaudette1:060.00–0.001:380.00–0.222:150.18–0.270:590.00–0.150:530.00–0.004:540.18–0.460:430.00–0.28
Skinner–Wennberg–Smith0:410.00–0.004:450.31–0.290:300.00–0.000:470.00–0.131:430.08–0.003:090.14–0.261:540.09–0.18
Reaves–Eklund–Celebrini
Leddy–Liljegren3:570.10–0.252:270.09–0.331:160.00–0.112:020.00–0.071:490.00–0.334:260.01–0.215:060.09–0.562:330.09–0.24
Orlov–Ferraro2:470.04–0.162:020.13–0.040:380.00–0.041:080.09–0.004:310.13–0.162:020.06–0.041:370.09–0.23
Klingberg–Dickinson1:200.08–0.170:480.00–0.100:560.00–0.002:090.00–0.161:400.00–0.172:250.08–0.181:490.00–0.26
Orlov–Dickinson1:080.00–0.231:180.00–0.000:360.00–0.001:010.00–0.18
Klingberg–Ferraro1:160.00–0.060:310.00–0.050:530.06–0.020:410.06–0.060:490.00–0.001:470.00–0.09
Leddy–Ferraro0:360.00–0.001:290.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:400.00–0.00
Orlov–Liljegren0:360.09–0.040:300.00–0.040:320.09–0.00
Orlov–Klingberg1:090.00–0.001:130.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndCelebrini FEklund FToffoli FSmith FWennberg FKurashev FMisa FSkinner FGaudette FGoodrow FReaves FDellandrea FLeddy DLiljegren DKlingberg DOrlov DFerraro DDickinson DNedeljkovic GAho FJarvis FEhlers FStaal FMartinook FJankowski FRobinson FBlake FSvechnikov FStankoven FHall FCarrier FMiller DWalker DChatfield DReilly DNikishin DGostisbehere DBussi G
SJSCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Dmitry OrlovSJS2923:200:481:3719
K'Andre MillerCAR2922:320:471:2393
Sean WalkerCAR2921:440:451:2983
Timothy LiljegrenSJS2820:480:451:2208
William EklundSJS2220:280:561:2653
Macklin CelebriniSJS2220:120:551:3953
Nick LeddySJS2719:390:441:2018
Jalen ChatfieldCAR2919:240:401:4145
Mario FerraroSJS2618:520:441:1208
Shayne GostisbehereCAR2318:480:491:3820
Sebastian AhoCAR2318:260:481:1981
Mike ReillyCAR2918:130:381:4035
Tyler ToffoliSJS2118:050:521:2553
Seth JarvisCAR2317:190:451:1781
Alexander NikishinCAR2317:140:451:1241
John KlingbergSJS2317:060:451:3755
Logan StankovenCAR1817:030:571:5241
Jackson BlakeCAR1716:420:591:3930
Philipp KurashevSJS2116:340:471:2514
Alexander WennbergSJS2416:260:411:32110
Michael MisaSJS1815:060:501:2914
Nikolaj EhlersCAR1815:040:501:1980
Jordan StaalCAR2315:010:391:0463
Jordan MartinookCAR2314:410:381:0153
Will SmithSJS1813:570:471:2817
Ty DellandreaSJS1813:540:461:1506
Jeff SkinnerSJS1913:370:431:1019
Andrei SvechnikovCAR1613:300:512:0630
Barclay GoodrowSJS1813:260:451:2503
Taylor HallCAR1612:480:481:3841
Sam DickinsonSJS1611:520:451:0013
Eric RobinsonCAR1711:000:390:5650
Ryan ReavesSJS1410:520:471:2501
William CarrierCAR1910:510:340:5640
Adam GaudetteSJS169:460:371:4001
Mark JankowskiCAR169:400:360:5250