Sat, Oct 18, 2025·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Calgary Flames 1, Vegas Golden Knights 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 59% of the time.
50%
9%
9%
32%
VGK winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 24:00 | 0.01 | 49.4% | +11.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:30 | 0.00 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:55 | 0.06 | 62.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:52 | 0.04 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:48 | 0.74 | 55.4% | +11.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:15 | 0.22 | 60.0% | +11.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:50 | 0.22 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:41 | 0.02 | 20.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:52 | 0.32 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:53 | 0.46 | 59.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:23 | 0.02 | 25.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:09 | 0.13 | 26.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:03 | 0.01 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:00 | 0.10 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:03 | 0.03 | 30.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:52 | 0.00 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:51 | 0.23 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:18 | 0.08 | 35.1% | 0.0 |
| – | 9 | 8 | 1 | .889 | 1.21 | +0.2 | 20:00 | |
| L | 19 | 14 | 5 | .737 | 2.02 | −3.0 | 40:00 |
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:06 | 0.00 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:34 | 0.09 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 18:17 | 0.69 | 70.2% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:04 | 0.00 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:01 | 0.01 | 68.5% | +7.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 17:58 | 0.11 | 56.3% | +7.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:30 | 0.08 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:32 | 0.61 | 66.9% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 3 | 16:08 | 0.41 | 63.7% | +27.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:06 | 0.22 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:46 | 0.05 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:01 | 0.02 | 20.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:20 | 0.01 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 14:13 | 0.05 | 69.0% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:08 | 0.26 | 63.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:14 | 0.00 | 14.0% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 4 | 13:12 | 0.61 | 67.2% | +27.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:28 | 0.00 | 9.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 26 | 1 | .963 | 2.68 | +1.7 | 59:58 |